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KPITSnow

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Everything posted by KPITSnow

  1. I agree with this. I do think the bigger issue is dry slotting. GFS is solid but still has the dry slotting issue.
  2. That’s not good given it was one of our best producers for a while now im just getting the feeling that we are going to get less than six inches and dry slot/slop and 50 miles west and north will see a foot. hopefully we can get a move SE. edit: and before anyone says I’m too negative it is exactly what most models have been trending towards
  3. In which sense? I'm assuming that the 12 is way too over amped?
  4. I think that it is probably more like 3-5 at best and a bunch of slop.
  5. So since I think us down here want the same sort of trends as you guys for the most part, can we just say the NAM is awful lol?
  6. Not to get too far ahead but through 24 hours the NAM appears to be pretty significantly SE of 6z. That is what I have been looking to see.
  7. Trying to stay realistic. Hopefully this is one of those times where the shorter term MESO models lock in on something but its such a completely different evolution I have a hard time buying it.
  8. I've seen the short term models come in and lead the way before, so will be interesting to see if they do it here. I sure hope so.
  9. If we get less than 6 inches from this it is an absolutely epic fail. We won't get this track again anytime soon
  10. Bad news though it is a big step back from previous runs and everything is starting to show that dry slot.
  11. It does for a bit, but pivots pretty quickly. I think the GFS will still be a huge hit.
  12. Lol of course. I will say that the NAM is very much on its own.
  13. Hey I’m not the one that said CPA folks were rooting against us.
  14. Why? This was a terrible NAM run. hopefully it’s out to lunch, but this has been cropping up to varying degree ms on a lot of models.
  15. How? See 4 or 5 inches at most? It puts down about .75 qpf and a lot of that isn’t snow.
  16. Lol. If we dry slot it would be hilarious honestly. It doesn’t matter if the low approach’s from due south or the west, it will always drive right up into us and mix or change is over. How many times have we been nuked temp wise then dry slotted?
  17. Yes. Very much so IMO. The transfer happens sooner, at least that is what it appears like. edit: never mind. We I’ve and dry slot.
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