WxWatcher007

All timers would definitely change the subjective grade. Just not sure any of that is walking through the door.

If you have to eat cirrus and Georgie has to dry slot and get banished from the forum for CT to get 12+ of powder…most of the Connecticut delegation would gladly approve.

I count about 12-13 weeks In all seriousness though, as long as we don’t get one of those massive 150 mile shifts north or west that we’ve seen so much this winter, we’re in very good shape for a legit event, and the setup looks solid, as many others have said.

17 would be huge, but subjectively I couldn’t have that disproportionately weigh against the entirety of the season, which has been historically bad objectively to date. That’d still put me at 23” on the season, which is still extraordinarily bad. 2019-20 was 15.6” total here. Lets say in reality I get a 6” warning event next week…I’ll be at 12” going into March. I was at that by the end of December 2019.

Someone in the mid Atlantic got over 40 once lol

It’s awesome. I’d absolutely love that view especially if it’s toward the west. Below freezing at home. 31.6°

At 6” for the season. I’m not in yet but there’s no denying the signal. This one—as long as there’s no big reversal in the broader setup that allows for a north trend—looks legit here in CT.

Agree.

Still looks alright for southern peeps, but I want nothing to do with any kind of tick north.

Congratulations

That’s awesome. Congrats.

It does feel like there’s some real hope on the board for the first time in a while.

Over to cold rain now lol

Yup. We ping. Edit: mix of ping and snow in Manchester.

First flakes in Hartford

Of all people. Christ.

I don’t want to clog up the other thread. A winter like this imby—probably the worst on record with historic warmth and an unprecedented lack of snowfall this late is about as irredeemable as it gets. The ONLY ways to get anything other than an F: 1) A Mount Rushmore storm, so in my case something that tops 1888, 1978, 2011, or 2013. 2) Seasonal climo in a month, so a 40-50” month.

Nada here in Hartford so far.

Wish it were the euro of a decade ago where we could lock without needing cross guidance support or ensembles. It’s modestly intriguing for this range. I just hope that if winter really is going to show up, thirteen weeks late, that it brings epicosity to make up for lost time.

That's why he's praying lol

Hard to believe a coating could underperform, but 0.00” here. Actually, not hard to believe at all. I was driving through the Berks this morning though and obviously a different look up there.

I don’t think it is, but someone better versed with winter climo can answer that. I think generally because a niña tends to promote an amplified jet it leads to these periods of more intense blocking or troughing. I think it has seasonal variations but Ralph beat me to it. Thanks.

No intent to derail the thread here. Feel free to move if not appropriate. 87storms, there are a couple of issues with this: 1) After a three year Niña, we’re almost certainly going to a Niño or at worst warm neutral ENSO for the coming hurricane season. Activity is a lot more complicated than strictly ENSO, but warm ENSO should dramatically reduce Atlantic tropical activity. 2) Even after historically active seasons in terms of absolute activity and tracks in the western Atlantic, it hasn’t done much to temper the anomalously warm SSTs in this part of the basin. You need a wholesale and persistent atmospheric change to reduce those anomalies.