TauntonBlizzard2013
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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013
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66% of eps favorable turned into like 5% in 2 runs lol -
Something happened to make the models do a complete hard turn towards these current solutions. I doubt it’s going to come back.
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Hopefully it’s this Saturday, because next Saturday there won’t be
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Yes, for Green Bay
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Yeah, I won’t spend the next week hoping for a miracle or chasing scraps, I’m just not going to do it at this point. Dont worry, it will be cold, bare and miserable behind the storm; though.
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This isn’t a melt, but I’m just so sick of whatever this pattern is. Hopefully if this thing cuts to Chicago we can shake things up a bit. Id roll the dice with a shakeup heading into the new year. If I have to see another NAO chart, or any other “days 10-15” look amazing, I’m literally going to vomit.
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. yeah, I don’t think people should be holding their breathe
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It’s a cutter over Cleveland, but it’s 7 days a way!!!!!! Plenty of time to correct everything to get it near the benchmark. I don’t know dude. You think I’m being a Debbie, but 12z runs have been junk
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Gfs moved in that direction not debatable. And the other two weren’t even in the stratosphere of being close for here. Trying to be objective. Not dance around the elephant in the room. I know how many days away the storm is, you have to do what you have to do I guess. repeating how many days the storm is away is just a defense mechanism because the modeled solutions on the whole look like dung right now.
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You feel warm and fuzzy about the 00z runs so far wolfie?
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You need about a 1500 mile shift on most guidance, not 200
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Yeah, I think we’re cooked, but that’s just my opinion.
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Yes, it was a clear not to the cutter solution, I’m not sure that is overly debatable.
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So everything sucks so far except the gfs. What could go wrong.
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Didn’t you say those differences show up pretty early? That’s not good in terms of getting large scale changes on those models
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Yeah, I’m a little worried that we’ve seen several of those runs from various models
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Honestly, I’d take my chances with something like the gfs. CMC ain’t even close.
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Exactly. Tracking over Buffalo is not even in the game
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Yeah, I doubt anyone is taking its solution or any solution really at face value, but I’d rather not see guidance cutting across New York State. I don’t care if it’s a week away or 10 weeks away.
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Get the sandbags out. Just in time to ruin Christmas for the ski resorts too
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I think that’s kind of burying the lead. There were some larger wholesale changes overnight that led to worse outcomes.
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It’s heading in that direction.
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Ultimately it is what it is. I am getting kind of sick of being porked right around the holidays though. I woke up this morning to almost no posts, and then look to see the entire evolution has basically changed and the majority of individual ensembles are cutting this through Buffalo.
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H5 is having a great season so far. The op and ensemble runs immediately went to shit after Brooklyn spiked the football at day 9 yesterday
