Too bad, there’s some stronger stuff just offshore on the RGEM, talking 50-75 miles to get a solid advisory event for many.
But it def regressed here. 4-5” at 12z became 2-3” at 18z
Yeah, I definitely like the trend there. Another nudge or two like that, and like Will alluded to earlier, many in the pike region and south could be happy.
The shortwave maintained its strength, which is the path to something decent.
Started off better for sure. Need that shortwave to maintain its strength. It still ended up almost identical, which isn’t going to get it done.
I had some hope it may be better, but nope
This is the exact type of event that we’d get to go from what it is now into a low end warning in the mid 2010s. Haven’t had any such luck recently. There is a path to a solid advisory, no matter how small it is