Honestly it has nothing to do with being modernized our not. ERCOT plants run on fuels that don't do well in sustained cold because honestly, they don't really need to (usually). Nuclear or coal would be the answer right now... good luck getting approval for those.
I work for a company that trades power and natural gas for several co-ops across the country. To say this weekend has been a mess is an understatement. Nat gas was trading at $600/dth at one point friday in the cash market and theres a very real possibility demand exceeds power supply at some point.
There isn't really a model depicting you getting anything before this afternoon. NWA is definitely going to overperform in the early part of the storm.
In the ball game for sure. Somebody that isn't expecting it is going to get slammed by this storm and I'm not sure I buy the big nw arkansas snow total drop off right now.
Snowing at a pretty good clip in Carmel, In. Came straight in as snow without the modeled rain to begin with. Don't want to jinx anything but just looking at radar trends I am starting to think we bust high.
That is the truth my man. I never realized how much those 50-60 degree sunny days help you get through winter. We finally just said we had enough and went out yesterday with temps in the twenties because the sun was out.
Looks like there's going to be some nowcasting my snow amounts here in Carmel, In, we are riding right on that line. Cold, grey, and no snow on the ground has made for a rough introduction to Midwest winters.
If there is a couple things I am feeling good about right now, it is that I am not in the bullseye this far out and that I am sitting west of where the bullseye is. That being said, I would like for the east trend to at least stop moving further east in the next few runs.
When did it become so taboo to suggest anything that requires a little personal accountability? Encouraging people to take of themselves shouldn't be so controversial.
That is completely fair. But acting like the virus isn't getting spread at those other places because those people belong to a different political party isn't.