hudsonvalley21

Currently at 27.0. Clear skies and calm winds have had it drop off nice. Forcast low IMBY is for 29. Also, the ground surface is frozen, going to have some ZR a quick runoff tomorrow. Uptons short term. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 752 PM EST SAT DEC 11 2010 .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... -- Changed Discussion --TEMPS THIS EVENING HAVE COOLED DOWN QUICKER THAN FORECAST. UPDATED DATABASE BASED ON LATEST TRENDS AND OBSERVATIONS. DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY TEMPS WARM...AND HOW FAST PRECIP MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH WILL DETERMINE EXACTLY WHERE FZRA OCCURS. IT DOES APPEAR THAT ADVISORIES ARE FINE WHERE THEY ARE...EVEN NORTHERN MIDDLESEX AND NORTHERN NEW LONDON COUNTIES. THIS WILL OF COURSE NEED TO BE MONITORED...BUT I DO BELIEVE THAT ANY FROZEN PRECIP OUTSIDE OF THE ADVISORY AREA WOULD BE VERY SHORT LIVED. MODELS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT THROUGH SUN MORNING. STRONG LOW PRES CONTINUES TO DIG THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND WILL APPROACH THE OH VALLEY BY DAYBREAK. AHEAD OF THIS LOW...A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK LOW PRES WILL LIFT ALONG THE COAST AND TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. AS THE WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...SOME LIGHT RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. FOR THE INTERIOR...DESPITE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS...SFC TEMPS LOOK TO STAY AT OR BELOW FREEZING FOR A GOOD PART OF THE NIGHT. WITH AN INCREASING EASTERLY FLOW...TEMPS IN THE MIDDLE LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE LOOK TO WARM TO 2-4C WHILE SFC TEMPS SLOWLY WARM ABOVE FREEZING. AS SUCH...ANY PRECIP THAT FALLS WILL FALL AS A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN...WITH PRECIP MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO RAIN BY DAYBREAK SUN. FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR INTERIOR LOCALES FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH SUN MORNING. TOTAL ICE ACCRETION LOOKS TO BE LESS THAN 0.10 INCH. FOR SOUTHERN ZONES...LESS THAN 1/4 INCH QPF EXPECTED. LOWS OCCUR THIS EVENING...THEN RISE OVERNIGHT.-- End Changed Discussion --

Glad too see you found us here.

15.2 at 10pm

I wonder if living near the golf course makes a difference. If you have a breeze there due to the open area, there is no area for the cold to air to pool since it will settle in low lying areas. For instance, KSWF is at 581 ft. IMBY, I'm at 125 ft. in Butterhill along the Moodna creek bed shelterd from the wind. I can be a couple of degrees colder than KSWF. It could be just a slight breeze that makes a factor. Just my thoughts. My forcast low is 11 for tonite, currently at 19.1.

Untill tonite. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=41.53428214049227&lon=-74.24423217773437&site=okx&smap=1&unit=0&lg=en&FcstType=text

I went thru Highland Mills and had a moderate snow shower around 5:30 am (near the Woodbury Commons) it was localized there too with a dusting on the ground. I was lucky to make it thru before the traffic got messy.

A few inches of rain and could be quite windy if it mixes down to the surface. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php

Time to get the snowblower out of summer storage.

Happy Thanks to you. Down to 34.8 now. Nice drop in the last hour

Happy Thanks to you and yours Rob and to all HV posters. Down to 36.3 here on the east side. Mostly clear skies. We'll see how much it drops.

Good to hear.

Were getting there. Another mention for Wed into Turkey day too. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 353 PM EST SAT NOV 20 2010 .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... -- Changed Discussion --PROGRESSIVE FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE CONUS DURING THE PERIOD WITH ONE SYSTEM EXITING THE EAST COAST TUESDAY NIGHT...AND THE NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST ENTERING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...IN THE NORTHERN STREAM. THIS SYSTEM MOVES QUICKLY THROUGH THE NORTHERN CONUS AND BRINGS ANOTHER SYSTEM TO THE AREA...POSSIBLY AS QUICKLY AS LATE WEDNESDAY AND INTO THURSDAY. A COLD AIR MASS MOVES IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW...POTENTIAL TO BE THE COLDEST OF THE SEASON SO FAR. SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION OR POSSIBLY A BRIEF CHANGE TO SNOW IN POSSIBLE WELL INLAND BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME MODEL DISCREPANCIES APPEAR BY MIDWEEK AND WITH THE UNCERTAINTY OF ANY ONE DETERMINISTIC MODEL OR RUN...HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE HPC GUIDANCE WITH SOME BLEND OF THE 12Z GFS.-- End Changed Discussion --

Glad too see you found your way here

The line hit here at 4:45. Had heavy rain along with strong winds around 40mph. The winds lasted about 2 minn. Only a few bolts and rumbles of thunder. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NJC003-017-031-NYC005-047-059-061-071-079-081-087-119-171030- /O.NEW.KOKX.SV.W.0098.101117T0943Z-101117T1030Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 443 AM EST WED NOV 17 2010 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... NASSAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... EASTERN PASSAIC COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... BRONX COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... ROCKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... PUTNAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... EASTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... BERGEN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... HUDSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... * UNTIL 530 AM EST... * AT 442 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. IN FACT THIS STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEWBURGH TO NEW CITY TO PARAMUS TO CANARSIE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEWBURGH TO NEW CITY TO PARAMUS TO CROWN HEIGHTS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

Hey Hey Rob, Nice day today. Over this way in New Windsor went down to 27 and had a high of 62. Cleaning up the yard today. Lou

Hey Ya'll Hope they can patch things up, life is too short. I guess we will make this home for now.