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hudsonvalley21

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Everything posted by hudsonvalley21

  1. Good to hear Band after band on the way. http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=zoom&num=6&delay=15&scale=0.750&noclutter=0&ID=OKX&type=NCR&lat=40.84149170&lon=-73.28043365&label=Commack,%20NY&showstorms=0&map.x=413&map.y=241&centerx=464&centery=248&lightning=0&smooth0&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0
  2. I'm getting clipped by it too. Just on the western edge. est. about 4" down now. I'm around 1/2 mile west of the hudson.
  3. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 432 PM EST SUN DEC 26 2010 ...DANGEROUS WINTER STORM TONIGHT INTO MONDAY... NYZ067-270545- /O.CON.KOKX.BZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-101227T2300Z/ ORANGE- 432 PM EST SUN DEC 26 2010 ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY... A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY. * HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS...WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 15 INCHES...HIGHEST ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF ORANGE COUNTY. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...AND STRONG WINDS CAUSING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE NEAR ZERO AT TIMES...WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT...AND THEN TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST MONDAY MORNING. * WINDS...DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM TONIGHT...WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH.
  4. Hey, good luck down there. Have the same up here.
  5. 5 pm Obs. NYZ052-065-067-262300- HUDSON VALLEY CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS NEWBURGH SNOW 19 18 93 NE14G25 29.60F VSB 1/2 WCI 6 MONTGOMERY LGT SNOW 22 18 85 NE16 29.59F VSB 1 WCI 8 POUGHKEEPSIE SNOW 20 16 84 N15G28 29.62F VSB 1/2 WCI 6 ALBANY FLURRIES 18 9 68 N16G25 29.78F WCI 3 $$
  6. Thanks Hope it will shift a bit more to the north and give you a bit more. Could have some thundersnow with some of those bands.
  7. Game on!! I don't remember Orange county was under a Blizzard Warning. Tonite will be insane! Keep those flashlights nearby
  8. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 631 AM EST SUN DEC 26 2010 .NEAR TERM /UNTIL NOON TODAY/... VERY LIGHT SNOW NEAR KGON...BUT OTHERWISE DRY AT 11Z WITH BAND OF PCPN BEGINNING TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE DELMARVA AND STRETCHING NEWD. WATER VAPOR INDICATES THIS IS THE WAA ZONE. TD/S STILL IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S ACROSS THE CWA. WITH MAIN LIFT S OF THE CWA AND MOISTURE LIMITED OVER THE CWA...WILL KEEP IT MAINLY DRY AT SUNRISE..WITH LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING FROM SE TO NW THROUGH NOON. SIGNS OF THIS ALREADY TAKING PLACE AT KMTP WITH CLOSING DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS AND DEVELOPING RADAR ECHOS. 6Z MODEL UPDATE...BOTH THE GFS AND NAM SUPPORT A GENERAL 12-16 INCH SNOWFALL FROM THE HUDSON RIVER EAST. BANDING WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LOCALIZED 2 FT AMOUNTS. GFS LOW TRACK IS 40-60 MILES FURTHER NORTH THAN THE SREF AND NAM. .SHORT TERM /NOON TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... NO CHANGES TO THE WINTER STORM HEADLINES...YET. TWO MAIN FCST ISSUES THIS MORNING. FIRST IS THE WIND. SECOND IS THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN ACROSS ERN LI. MODEL STORM TRACK HAS CONSOLIDATED WITH THE 00Z RUNS. THE ECMWF TRACKS ALONG THE 3Z SREF. GFS ABOUT 20MI NW OF THE ECMWF...AND THE NAM SLIGHTLY E OF THE ECMWF. QPF AND RESULTANT SNOWFALL FCST RELATIVELY UNCHANGED WITH A GENERAL 6-18 INCHES LIKELY. LEAST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE W AND HIGHEST AMOUNTS E...WHERE RAIN DOESNT HOLD THE NUMBERS DOWN. WITH REGARD TO THE RAIN...CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE LOW MAY ALLOW FOR THE COASTAL FRONT TO PENETRATE WWD INTO ECNTRL LI. THE TWIN FORKS ARE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE. AS THE LOW MAKES IT/S CLOSEST APPROACH HOWEVER IT UNDERGOES OCCLUSION. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT H85 TEMPS NEVER RISE ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE CWA. FOR THIS REASON HAVE KEPT THE AREA MOSTLY SNOW BUT THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY. ANYWHERE FROM CNTRL LI WWD WILL BE ALL SNOW. THE DEEP LOW WILL PRODUCE A POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND FIELD. BL WINDS IN THE GFS OVER 60KT. NAM WIND FIELDS ARE WEAKER...BUT THE DEEPER ECMWF GIVES SUPPORT TO THE GFS. FOR THIS REASON HAVE BUMPED WIND GUSTS UP TO 45-60 MPH. LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF LI. HAVE KEPT THE WARNINGS INTACT...BUT WILL INCLUDE WORDING STATING THAT AN UPGRADE TO A BLIZZARD WARNING IS POSSIBLE. BECAUSE THE HIGHEST WINDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR...WILL BE TONIGHT...THERE IS STILL TIME TO OBSERVE WHAT ENSUES OVER THE OCEAN. THE STORM WINDS DOWN MONDAY WITH STRONG WINDS CONTINUING. THE ACCUMULATING SNOW APPEARS IT WILL BE OVER BY 15Z ATTM. DRY WITH LESS WIND TUE.
  9. Merry Christmas to all. Hope santa brought all of us snowblowers, we will be needing them.
  10. We'll see. I would wait another run or two too see what they show. There was alot of flip flopping the last few days. If it does pan out the lake regions will have their fun too. Looks like a late night tonite looking at dr. no.
  11. Hope the winds take it your way. Snow machine effect snows.
  12. Sneek out and hook up the snow machine on the golf course.
  13. Have a coating down as of 9:00. streets are snow covered. Still light snow falling and radar filling in slightly. 25.8.
  14. Just had some thunder and heavy downpour roll thru from the south.
  15. Currently at 27.0. Clear skies and calm winds have had it drop off nice. Forcast low IMBY is for 29. Also, the ground surface is frozen, going to have some ZR a quick runoff tomorrow. Uptons short term. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 752 PM EST SAT DEC 11 2010 .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... -- Changed Discussion --TEMPS THIS EVENING HAVE COOLED DOWN QUICKER THAN FORECAST. UPDATED DATABASE BASED ON LATEST TRENDS AND OBSERVATIONS. DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY TEMPS WARM...AND HOW FAST PRECIP MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH WILL DETERMINE EXACTLY WHERE FZRA OCCURS. IT DOES APPEAR THAT ADVISORIES ARE FINE WHERE THEY ARE...EVEN NORTHERN MIDDLESEX AND NORTHERN NEW LONDON COUNTIES. THIS WILL OF COURSE NEED TO BE MONITORED...BUT I DO BELIEVE THAT ANY FROZEN PRECIP OUTSIDE OF THE ADVISORY AREA WOULD BE VERY SHORT LIVED. MODELS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT THROUGH SUN MORNING. STRONG LOW PRES CONTINUES TO DIG THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND WILL APPROACH THE OH VALLEY BY DAYBREAK. AHEAD OF THIS LOW...A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK LOW PRES WILL LIFT ALONG THE COAST AND TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. AS THE WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...SOME LIGHT RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. FOR THE INTERIOR...DESPITE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS...SFC TEMPS LOOK TO STAY AT OR BELOW FREEZING FOR A GOOD PART OF THE NIGHT. WITH AN INCREASING EASTERLY FLOW...TEMPS IN THE MIDDLE LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE LOOK TO WARM TO 2-4C WHILE SFC TEMPS SLOWLY WARM ABOVE FREEZING. AS SUCH...ANY PRECIP THAT FALLS WILL FALL AS A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN...WITH PRECIP MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO RAIN BY DAYBREAK SUN. FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR INTERIOR LOCALES FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH SUN MORNING. TOTAL ICE ACCRETION LOOKS TO BE LESS THAN 0.10 INCH. FOR SOUTHERN ZONES...LESS THAN 1/4 INCH QPF EXPECTED. LOWS OCCUR THIS EVENING...THEN RISE OVERNIGHT.-- End Changed Discussion --
  16. I wonder if living near the golf course makes a difference. If you have a breeze there due to the open area, there is no area for the cold to air to pool since it will settle in low lying areas. For instance, KSWF is at 581 ft. IMBY, I'm at 125 ft. in Butterhill along the Moodna creek bed shelterd from the wind. I can be a couple of degrees colder than KSWF. It could be just a slight breeze that makes a factor. Just my thoughts. My forcast low is 11 for tonite, currently at 19.1.
  17. Untill tonite. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=41.53428214049227&lon=-74.24423217773437&site=okx&smap=1&unit=0&lg=en&FcstType=text
  18. I went thru Highland Mills and had a moderate snow shower around 5:30 am (near the Woodbury Commons) it was localized there too with a dusting on the ground. I was lucky to make it thru before the traffic got messy.
  19. A few inches of rain and could be quite windy if it mixes down to the surface. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php
  20. Time to get the snowblower out of summer storage.
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