hudsonvalley21

5 pm Obs. NYZ052-065-067-262300- HUDSON VALLEY CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS NEWBURGH SNOW 19 18 93 NE14G25 29.60F VSB 1/2 WCI 6 MONTGOMERY LGT SNOW 22 18 85 NE16 29.59F VSB 1 WCI 8 POUGHKEEPSIE SNOW 20 16 84 N15G28 29.62F VSB 1/2 WCI 6 ALBANY FLURRIES 18 9 68 N16G25 29.78F WCI 3 $$

Thanks Hope it will shift a bit more to the north and give you a bit more. Could have some thundersnow with some of those bands.

Game on!! I don't remember Orange county was under a Blizzard Warning. Tonite will be insane! Keep those flashlights nearby

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 631 AM EST SUN DEC 26 2010 .NEAR TERM /UNTIL NOON TODAY/... VERY LIGHT SNOW NEAR KGON...BUT OTHERWISE DRY AT 11Z WITH BAND OF PCPN BEGINNING TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE DELMARVA AND STRETCHING NEWD. WATER VAPOR INDICATES THIS IS THE WAA ZONE. TD/S STILL IN THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S ACROSS THE CWA. WITH MAIN LIFT S OF THE CWA AND MOISTURE LIMITED OVER THE CWA...WILL KEEP IT MAINLY DRY AT SUNRISE..WITH LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING FROM SE TO NW THROUGH NOON. SIGNS OF THIS ALREADY TAKING PLACE AT KMTP WITH CLOSING DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS AND DEVELOPING RADAR ECHOS. 6Z MODEL UPDATE...BOTH THE GFS AND NAM SUPPORT A GENERAL 12-16 INCH SNOWFALL FROM THE HUDSON RIVER EAST. BANDING WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LOCALIZED 2 FT AMOUNTS. GFS LOW TRACK IS 40-60 MILES FURTHER NORTH THAN THE SREF AND NAM. .SHORT TERM /NOON TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... NO CHANGES TO THE WINTER STORM HEADLINES...YET. TWO MAIN FCST ISSUES THIS MORNING. FIRST IS THE WIND. SECOND IS THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN ACROSS ERN LI. MODEL STORM TRACK HAS CONSOLIDATED WITH THE 00Z RUNS. THE ECMWF TRACKS ALONG THE 3Z SREF. GFS ABOUT 20MI NW OF THE ECMWF...AND THE NAM SLIGHTLY E OF THE ECMWF. QPF AND RESULTANT SNOWFALL FCST RELATIVELY UNCHANGED WITH A GENERAL 6-18 INCHES LIKELY. LEAST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE W AND HIGHEST AMOUNTS E...WHERE RAIN DOESNT HOLD THE NUMBERS DOWN. WITH REGARD TO THE RAIN...CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE LOW MAY ALLOW FOR THE COASTAL FRONT TO PENETRATE WWD INTO ECNTRL LI. THE TWIN FORKS ARE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE. AS THE LOW MAKES IT/S CLOSEST APPROACH HOWEVER IT UNDERGOES OCCLUSION. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT H85 TEMPS NEVER RISE ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE CWA. FOR THIS REASON HAVE KEPT THE AREA MOSTLY SNOW BUT THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY. ANYWHERE FROM CNTRL LI WWD WILL BE ALL SNOW. THE DEEP LOW WILL PRODUCE A POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND FIELD. BL WINDS IN THE GFS OVER 60KT. NAM WIND FIELDS ARE WEAKER...BUT THE DEEPER ECMWF GIVES SUPPORT TO THE GFS. FOR THIS REASON HAVE BUMPED WIND GUSTS UP TO 45-60 MPH. LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF LI. HAVE KEPT THE WARNINGS INTACT...BUT WILL INCLUDE WORDING STATING THAT AN UPGRADE TO A BLIZZARD WARNING IS POSSIBLE. BECAUSE THE HIGHEST WINDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR...WILL BE TONIGHT...THERE IS STILL TIME TO OBSERVE WHAT ENSUES OVER THE OCEAN. THE STORM WINDS DOWN MONDAY WITH STRONG WINDS CONTINUING. THE ACCUMULATING SNOW APPEARS IT WILL BE OVER BY 15Z ATTM. DRY WITH LESS WIND TUE.

Merry Christmas to all. Hope santa brought all of us snowblowers, we will be needing them.

You might get a call from the TH- Record tonite.

We'll see. I would wait another run or two too see what they show. There was alot of flip flopping the last few days. If it does pan out the lake regions will have their fun too. Looks like a late night tonite looking at dr. no.

Hope the winds take it your way. Snow machine effect snows.

Sneek out and hook up the snow machine on the golf course.

Have a coating down as of 9:00. streets are snow covered. Still light snow falling and radar filling in slightly. 25.8.

Just had some thunder and heavy downpour roll thru from the south.

Currently at 27.0. Clear skies and calm winds have had it drop off nice. Forcast low IMBY is for 29. Also, the ground surface is frozen, going to have some ZR a quick runoff tomorrow. Uptons short term. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 752 PM EST SAT DEC 11 2010 .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... -- Changed Discussion --TEMPS THIS EVENING HAVE COOLED DOWN QUICKER THAN FORECAST. UPDATED DATABASE BASED ON LATEST TRENDS AND OBSERVATIONS. DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY TEMPS WARM...AND HOW FAST PRECIP MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTH WILL DETERMINE EXACTLY WHERE FZRA OCCURS. IT DOES APPEAR THAT ADVISORIES ARE FINE WHERE THEY ARE...EVEN NORTHERN MIDDLESEX AND NORTHERN NEW LONDON COUNTIES. THIS WILL OF COURSE NEED TO BE MONITORED...BUT I DO BELIEVE THAT ANY FROZEN PRECIP OUTSIDE OF THE ADVISORY AREA WOULD BE VERY SHORT LIVED. MODELS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT THROUGH SUN MORNING. STRONG LOW PRES CONTINUES TO DIG THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND WILL APPROACH THE OH VALLEY BY DAYBREAK. AHEAD OF THIS LOW...A WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK LOW PRES WILL LIFT ALONG THE COAST AND TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. AS THE WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...SOME LIGHT RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. FOR THE INTERIOR...DESPITE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS...SFC TEMPS LOOK TO STAY AT OR BELOW FREEZING FOR A GOOD PART OF THE NIGHT. WITH AN INCREASING EASTERLY FLOW...TEMPS IN THE MIDDLE LAYERS OF THE ATMOSPHERE LOOK TO WARM TO 2-4C WHILE SFC TEMPS SLOWLY WARM ABOVE FREEZING. AS SUCH...ANY PRECIP THAT FALLS WILL FALL AS A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN...WITH PRECIP MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO RAIN BY DAYBREAK SUN. FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR INTERIOR LOCALES FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH SUN MORNING. TOTAL ICE ACCRETION LOOKS TO BE LESS THAN 0.10 INCH. FOR SOUTHERN ZONES...LESS THAN 1/4 INCH QPF EXPECTED. LOWS OCCUR THIS EVENING...THEN RISE OVERNIGHT.-- End Changed Discussion --

Glad too see you found us here.

15.2 at 10pm

I wonder if living near the golf course makes a difference. If you have a breeze there due to the open area, there is no area for the cold to air to pool since it will settle in low lying areas. For instance, KSWF is at 581 ft. IMBY, I'm at 125 ft. in Butterhill along the Moodna creek bed shelterd from the wind. I can be a couple of degrees colder than KSWF. It could be just a slight breeze that makes a factor. Just my thoughts. My forcast low is 11 for tonite, currently at 19.1.

Untill tonite. http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=41.53428214049227&lon=-74.24423217773437&site=okx&smap=1&unit=0&lg=en&FcstType=text

I went thru Highland Mills and had a moderate snow shower around 5:30 am (near the Woodbury Commons) it was localized there too with a dusting on the ground. I was lucky to make it thru before the traffic got messy.

A few inches of rain and could be quite windy if it mixes down to the surface. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/okx/stormtotalprecip.php

Time to get the snowblower out of summer storage.

Happy Thanks to you. Down to 34.8 now. Nice drop in the last hour

Happy Thanks to you and yours Rob and to all HV posters. Down to 36.3 here on the east side. Mostly clear skies. We'll see how much it drops.

Good to hear.

Were getting there. Another mention for Wed into Turkey day too. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 353 PM EST SAT NOV 20 2010 .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... -- Changed Discussion --PROGRESSIVE FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE CONUS DURING THE PERIOD WITH ONE SYSTEM EXITING THE EAST COAST TUESDAY NIGHT...AND THE NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE EAST COAST ENTERING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...IN THE NORTHERN STREAM. THIS SYSTEM MOVES QUICKLY THROUGH THE NORTHERN CONUS AND BRINGS ANOTHER SYSTEM TO THE AREA...POSSIBLY AS QUICKLY AS LATE WEDNESDAY AND INTO THURSDAY. A COLD AIR MASS MOVES IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WITH A GUSTY NORTHWEST FLOW...POTENTIAL TO BE THE COLDEST OF THE SEASON SO FAR. SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION OR POSSIBLY A BRIEF CHANGE TO SNOW IN POSSIBLE WELL INLAND BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS THURSDAY NIGHT. SOME MODEL DISCREPANCIES APPEAR BY MIDWEEK AND WITH THE UNCERTAINTY OF ANY ONE DETERMINISTIC MODEL OR RUN...HAVE LEANED TOWARD THE HPC GUIDANCE WITH SOME BLEND OF THE 12Z GFS.-- End Changed Discussion --

Glad too see you found your way here

The line hit here at 4:45. Had heavy rain along with strong winds around 40mph. The winds lasted about 2 minn. Only a few bolts and rumbles of thunder. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NJC003-017-031-NYC005-047-059-061-071-079-081-087-119-171030- /O.NEW.KOKX.SV.W.0098.101117T0943Z-101117T1030Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 443 AM EST WED NOV 17 2010 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... NASSAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... WESTCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... EASTERN PASSAIC COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... KINGS (BROOKLYN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... BRONX COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... ROCKLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... PUTNAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... EASTERN ORANGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... BERGEN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... HUDSON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY... * UNTIL 530 AM EST... * AT 442 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. IN FACT THIS STORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEWBURGH TO NEW CITY TO PARAMUS TO CANARSIE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEWBURGH TO NEW CITY TO PARAMUS TO CROWN HEIGHTS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.