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hudsonvalley21

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    The Hudson Valley Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    I would say that I have had 2 inches over the last hour or so... Somewhere between 6 and 7 on the ground now, but it is impossible to know for sure due to the drifting and blowing snow. Some really intense snow coming down now.. Just epic.

    Good to hear :thumbsup:

    Band after band on the way.

    http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=zoom&num=6&delay=15&scale=0.750&noclutter=0&ID=OKX&type=NCR&lat=40.84149170&lon=-73.28043365&label=Commack,%20NY&showstorms=0&map.x=413&map.y=241&centerx=464&centery=248&lightning=0&smooth0&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0

    The Hudson Valley Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

    432 PM EST SUN DEC 26 2010

    ...DANGEROUS WINTER STORM TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...

    NYZ067-270545-

    /O.CON.KOKX.BZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-101227T2300Z/

    ORANGE-

    432 PM EST SUN DEC 26 2010

    ...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY...

    A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY.

    * HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS...WITH CONSIDERABLE

    BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW WITH NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT

    TIMES.

    * ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 15 INCHES...HIGHEST ACROSS THE EASTERN

    HALF OF ORANGE COUNTY.

    * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO

    SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...AND STRONG WINDS CAUSING

    CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. VISIBILITIES WILL BE

    NEAR ZERO AT TIMES...WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.

    * TIMING...SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT...AND THEN TAPER

    OFF FROM WEST TO EAST MONDAY MORNING.

    * WINDS...DURING THE HEIGHT OF THE STORM TONIGHT...WINDS WILL

    BECOME NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH.

    The Hudson Valley Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Snowing sideways right now. Wind howling. My weather station isn't working, but i'd guess 20mph sustained winds with gusts around 30. As nasty as I've seen in my 3 years in POU...During the Snowicane last year, we were in mostly rain out east here in Pleasant Valley.

    I grew up in Buffalo, so it's nice to see some WNY wind and snow out this way.

    5 pm Obs.

    NYZ052-065-067-262300-

    HUDSON VALLEY

    CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

    NEWBURGH SNOW 19 18 93 NE14G25 29.60F VSB 1/2 WCI 6

    MONTGOMERY LGT SNOW 22 18 85 NE16 29.59F VSB 1 WCI 8

    POUGHKEEPSIE SNOW 20 16 84 N15G28 29.62F VSB 1/2 WCI 6

    ALBANY FLURRIES 18 9 68 N16G25 29.78F WCI 3

    $$

    The Hudson Valley Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Thanks and you're all welcome. Enjoy the band when it rocks you. Nothing like 2-4 inch/per snowfall with the winds rippin' and whippin' too. Envy you buggers but my time will come. Remember: Have fun and enjoy!

    Thanks :thumbsup: Hope it will shift a bit more to the north and give you a bit more. Could have some thundersnow with some of those bands.

    The Hudson Valley Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

    631 AM EST SUN DEC 26 2010

    .NEAR TERM /UNTIL NOON TODAY/...

    VERY LIGHT SNOW NEAR KGON...BUT OTHERWISE DRY AT 11Z WITH BAND OF

    PCPN BEGINNING TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE DELMARVA AND STRETCHING

    NEWD. WATER VAPOR INDICATES THIS IS THE WAA ZONE. TD/S STILL IN

    THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S ACROSS THE CWA. WITH MAIN LIFT S OF THE

    CWA AND MOISTURE LIMITED OVER THE CWA...WILL KEEP IT MAINLY DRY AT

    SUNRISE..WITH LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING FROM SE TO NW THROUGH NOON.

    SIGNS OF THIS ALREADY TAKING PLACE AT KMTP WITH CLOSING DEWPOINT

    DEPRESSIONS AND DEVELOPING RADAR ECHOS.

    6Z MODEL UPDATE...BOTH THE GFS AND NAM SUPPORT A GENERAL 12-16

    INCH SNOWFALL FROM THE HUDSON RIVER EAST. BANDING WILL LIKELY

    RESULT IN LOCALIZED 2 FT AMOUNTS. GFS LOW TRACK IS 40-60 MILES

    FURTHER NORTH THAN THE SREF AND NAM.

    .SHORT TERM /NOON TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...

    NO CHANGES TO THE WINTER STORM HEADLINES...YET.

    TWO MAIN FCST ISSUES THIS MORNING. FIRST IS THE WIND. SECOND IS

    THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN ACROSS ERN LI.

    MODEL STORM TRACK HAS CONSOLIDATED WITH THE 00Z RUNS. THE ECMWF

    TRACKS ALONG THE 3Z SREF. GFS ABOUT 20MI NW OF THE ECMWF...AND

    THE NAM SLIGHTLY E OF THE ECMWF.

    QPF AND RESULTANT SNOWFALL FCST RELATIVELY UNCHANGED WITH A

    GENERAL 6-18 INCHES LIKELY. LEAST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE W AND HIGHEST

    AMOUNTS E...WHERE RAIN DOESNT HOLD THE NUMBERS DOWN.

    WITH REGARD TO THE RAIN...CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE LOW MAY ALLOW

    FOR THE COASTAL FRONT TO PENETRATE WWD INTO ECNTRL LI. THE TWIN

    FORKS ARE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE. AS THE LOW MAKES IT/S CLOSEST APPROACH

    HOWEVER IT UNDERGOES OCCLUSION. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT H85

    TEMPS NEVER RISE ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE CWA. FOR THIS REASON

    HAVE KEPT THE AREA MOSTLY SNOW BUT THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY.

    ANYWHERE FROM CNTRL LI WWD WILL BE ALL SNOW.

    THE DEEP LOW WILL PRODUCE A POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND FIELD. BL

    WINDS IN THE GFS OVER 60KT. NAM WIND FIELDS ARE WEAKER...BUT THE

    DEEPER ECMWF GIVES SUPPORT TO THE GFS. FOR THIS REASON HAVE BUMPED

    WIND GUSTS UP TO 45-60 MPH. LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE ACROSS

    MOST OF LI. HAVE KEPT THE WARNINGS INTACT...BUT WILL INCLUDE

    WORDING STATING THAT AN UPGRADE TO A BLIZZARD WARNING IS POSSIBLE.

    BECAUSE THE HIGHEST WINDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR...WILL

    BE TONIGHT...THERE IS STILL TIME TO OBSERVE WHAT ENSUES OVER THE

    OCEAN.

    THE STORM WINDS DOWN MONDAY WITH STRONG WINDS CONTINUING. THE

    ACCUMULATING SNOW APPEARS IT WILL BE OVER BY 15Z ATTM. DRY WITH

    LESS WIND TUE.

    The Hudson Valley Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    From what I have seen of the Euro - this is the dream scenario for the Lower/Mid Hudson Valley and nice for the Upper Valley also. It does have 2/1978 written on it somewhat and that was the best storm I was ever in while in the Mid Hudson Valley. My Dad worked at IBM POU and it took him about 4 hours to get the 20 miles up to near Kingston where he had to sleep on a guys floor. :) That was epic...love to see that again.

    We'll see. I would wait another run or two too see what they show. There was alot of flip flopping the last few days. If it does pan out the lake regions will have their fun too. Looks like a late night tonite looking at dr. no.

    The Hudson Valley Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    I have a heavy coating too. :weight_lift: The difference here is there's almost no wind at all. Most of the main roads had dried off after the rain but most of the side roads were still wet and have to be kinda sketchy right now.

    Have a coating down as of 9:00. streets are snow covered. Still light snow falling and radar filling in slightly. 25.8.

    The Hudson Valley Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Currently at 27.0. Clear skies and calm winds have had it drop off nice. Forcast low IMBY is for 29. Also, the ground surface is frozen, going to have some ZR a quick runoff tomorrow.

    Uptons short term.

    AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

    752 PM EST SAT DEC 11 2010

    .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...

    -- Changed Discussion --TEMPS THIS EVENING HAVE COOLED DOWN QUICKER THAN FORECAST. UPDATED

    DATABASE BASED ON LATEST TRENDS AND OBSERVATIONS. DEPENDING ON

    HOW QUICKLY TEMPS WARM...AND HOW FAST PRECIP MOVES IN FROM THE

    SOUTH WILL DETERMINE EXACTLY WHERE FZRA OCCURS. IT DOES APPEAR

    THAT ADVISORIES ARE FINE WHERE THEY ARE...EVEN NORTHERN MIDDLESEX

    AND NORTHERN NEW LONDON COUNTIES. THIS WILL OF COURSE NEED TO BE

    MONITORED...BUT I DO BELIEVE THAT ANY FROZEN PRECIP OUTSIDE OF THE

    ADVISORY AREA WOULD BE VERY SHORT LIVED.

    MODELS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT THROUGH SUN MORNING. STRONG LOW

    PRES CONTINUES TO DIG THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND WILL APPROACH

    THE OH VALLEY BY DAYBREAK. AHEAD OF THIS LOW...A WARM FRONT

    ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK LOW PRES WILL LIFT ALONG THE COAST AND

    TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST.

    AS THE WARM FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...SOME LIGHT RAIN

    WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. FOR THE

    INTERIOR...DESPITE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS...SFC TEMPS LOOK TO STAY

    AT OR BELOW FREEZING FOR A GOOD PART OF THE NIGHT. WITH AN

    INCREASING EASTERLY FLOW...TEMPS IN THE MIDDLE LAYERS OF THE

    ATMOSPHERE LOOK TO WARM TO 2-4C WHILE SFC TEMPS SLOWLY WARM ABOVE

    FREEZING. AS SUCH...ANY PRECIP THAT FALLS WILL FALL AS A PERIOD OF

    FREEZING RAIN...WITH PRECIP MIXING WITH AND CHANGING TO RAIN BY

    DAYBREAK SUN.

    FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR INTERIOR LOCALES FROM AROUND

    MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH SUN MORNING. TOTAL ICE ACCRETION LOOKS TO

    BE LESS THAN 0.10 INCH.

    FOR SOUTHERN ZONES...LESS THAN 1/4 INCH QPF EXPECTED.

    LOWS OCCUR THIS EVENING...THEN RISE OVERNIGHT.-- End Changed Discussion --

    The Hudson Valley Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    What's your elevation there?

    We'll see if I get that low but it should be the lowest of the season for sure. For whatever reason raditonal cooling is hit or miss IMBY. It seems like I tend to stay a bit warmer but there have been a few instances when I radiated very well and wound up colder. I haven't been able to figure out the reasoning but I sometimes wonder if my weather station location is a factor as it sits on a little hill in the yard with a 4-6 foot drop off on three sides. Anyone else think that this could be a factor?

    I wonder if living near the golf course makes a difference. If you have a breeze there due to the open area, there is no area for the cold to air to pool since it will settle in low lying areas. For instance, KSWF is at 581 ft. IMBY, I'm at 125 ft. in Butterhill along the Moodna creek bed shelterd from the wind. I can be a couple of degrees colder than KSWF. It could be just a slight breeze that makes a factor. Just my thoughts. My forcast low is 11 for tonite, currently at 19.1.

    The Hudson Valley Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Dusting by me as well, hit light to mod snow from Harriman to Nanuet on the thurway a few inches on the ground in spots, lots of accidents delayed 45 minutes. I exited the thruway in rockland, went two blocks and no snow on the ground. Its very localized.

    I went thru Highland Mills and had a moderate snow shower around 5:30 am (near the Woodbury Commons) it was localized there too with a dusting on the ground. I was lucky to make it thru before the traffic got messy.

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