hudsonvalley21

July 2025

DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA

+ 1.3    +1.8    +2.1      +2.1    +0.6   +0.4      +2.1    +2.2   +0.9

Just now, IrishRob17 said:

I trust my station, and had similar higher dewpoints with my other Davis stations in the past. I've concluded it must be the river and the wetlands pretty close to my yard. 94/83 currently.  

The dew pts really fluctuate locally. SW was 73% KMJ and POU were 75%

Gravitylover’s eariler post was showing numbers around 80. Makes a huge difference in heat index fluctuations locally.

22 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

94/81 at home with an HI of 116. Stupid, just plain stupid but like I said in the main thread yesterday, to each their own for those that enjoy this stuff.

That dew pt. of 81 is just insane. I wonder if it’s from being near the walkill river and the moisture from the golf course. Dew pt. here is 77 currently.

Just now, IrishRob17 said:

LOL, a classic photo of BX hitting the links 

Or the links hitting him 

10 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

94/81 at home with an HI of 116. Stupid, just plain stupid but like I said in the main thread yesterday, to each their own for those that enjoy this stuff.

Just think, In 6 months we could be shoveling snow 

1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said:

Since I mowed this evening instead of tomorrow I'm guessing it finally won't rain here at all 

I mowed today too, so there you go lock it up 

Meso discussion out

Mesoscale Discussion 1363 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Areas affected...portions of the Northeast Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 191644Z - 191815Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms are expected this afternoon with a primary threat of damaging wind gusts. DISCUSSION...Visible satellite imagery shows deepening towering cumulus across central and eastern New York amid moderate instability in an uncapped environment. As storms deepen, some organization/updraft rotation is expected given moderate shear (50 knots at 3km per ENX VWP). Damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail will be the primary threat from this activity. Storm coverage may be somewhat isolated early this afternoon as the upper-level trough and surface front remain across the eastern Great Lakes/southern Ontario. Additional storms may arrive this evening as those features move east, but instability will likely be weaker by this time, and the severe threat remains questionable by later this evening. ..Bentley/Hart.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY..

1.99” for the day so far. 73/73 thank god for air conditioning.

Edit, 2.14” was the days total.

2025 ...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Minor Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, including the following county, Passaic and southeast New York, including the following counties, Orange and Rockland. * WHEN...Until 845 PM EDT. * IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. Ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 652 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. Minor flooding is expected to begin shortly in the advisory area. Up to 0.5 inches of rain have fallen. - Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected over the area. This additional rain will result in minor flooding. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Monroe, West Point, Warwick, Chester, Greenwood Lake, Florida, Harriman, Unionville, Upper Greenwood Lake, Kiryas Joel, Woodbury, Firthcliffe, Cornwall On Hudson, Fort Montgomery, Pine Island, Tuxedo Park, Central Valley and Highland Mills. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said:

Impressive. 

Some more cells approaching from eastern Pa and Sussex county, NJ. We’ll see what happens.

Cell finally moved thru. Up to 1.85” for the day. 1.62” in 50 minutes.

6 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

I was on the edge of that and had a great view of the rain shaft just off to my northwest when I came home.

Cell has back built ,heavy rain currently had an inch of rain in 30 minutes. Glad you made it home ok. I’m sure there’s some flooding issues around. Rain shaft must had been impressive to see.

26 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Hi. Up to 1.25" in the last 48 hours. 

0.23 since midnight, nice cell on the doorstep, will add some more to the bucket soon.

2 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

.65" in the last 12 hours now. 

.31 here. One more day of this. In the other thread wdrag is mentioning the upcoming heat. I guess we flip the switch to summer plus more Thunderstorm possibilities.

1 hour ago, IrishRob17 said:

.65" in the last 12 hours, 2.46" for the month. 

.31 here for the same duration.

25 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

.01 through the tipper. I was actually getting concerned because I had gone 24 hours without a trace not thankfully some showers moved through. 

Same here 

18/9/5

51 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

If we go two weeks without precipitation then the droughtnista's will come out of the woodwork again talking about the reservoirs dropping. 

Give it a few days and the a/c will be on and the mosquitoes will be biting  3.93” for the total in the Davis.  51/49 currently.

36 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

It appears that the precipitation has finally stopped up here with 2.71", 9.48" for May, 51/48. 

Stopped here also. 3.93” for the event. 51/49 with a west wind around 10-15 mph currently. And probably will have the a/c on in a few days.

Upton’s AFD for today,

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Winds have been increased with this update to account for gusts that have occurred higher than expected. Moderate to heavy rainfall is beginning to taper with the low moving into the Lower Hudson Valley and SW CT. A Flood Watch remains in effect for the Lower Hudson Valley through 11 am. This area has racked up 1-3" inches of rain with many of the higher amounts in Orange county. Some wrap-around precipitation will move through mid to late morning through much of the area as the low exits north and east. As we get into late morning and early afternoon, the low will continue to exit northeast of the area. This brings in drier air & cuts off most of the more intense precip. Spotty to isolated showers may still occur into the early afternoon. Another chance for brief downpours with showers and thunderstorms may occur with a frontal passage behind the departing low late this afternoon into early tonight. Instability is marginal, so only a few rumbles of thunder are expected. Flood impacts will be minimal given the quicker progression of these showers with the front and given coverage will be less compared to this morning. Ahead of and with the front, a LLJ with move through west to east, which could lead to a spike in winds, leading to gusty conditions.

A section of Upton’s AFD,

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Winds have been increased with this update to account for gusts that have occurred higher than expected. Moderate to heavy rainfall is beginning to taper with the low moving into the Lower Hudson Valley and SW CT. A Flood Watch remains in effect for the Lower Hudson Valley through 11 am. This area has racked up 1-3" inches of rain with many of the higher amounts in Orange county. Some wrap-around precipitation will move through mid to late morning through much of the area as the low exits north and east. As we get into late morning and early afternoon, the low will continue to exit northeast of the area. This brings in drier air & cuts off most of the more intense precip. Spotty to isolated showers may still occur into the early afternoon. Another chance for brief downpours with showers and thunderstorms may occur with a frontal passage behind the departing low late this afternoon into early tonight. Instability is marginal, so only a few rumbles of thunder are expected. Flood impacts will be minimal given the quicker progression of these showers with the front and given coverage will be less compared to this morning. Ahead of and with the front, a LLJ with move through west to east, which could lead to a spike in winds, leading to gusty conditions.

DCA:  +2.4    101

NYC:  +2.4      98

BOS:  +2.0       97

ORD:  +1.4      100

ATL:  +1.2        101

IAH:  +1.0        101

DEN:  +0.7       100

PHX:  +2.5       123

SEA:  +0.2.        97

17 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

 

Clearly the heaviest was east of me, and probably west of here, ONLY 2.51”, 9.28” for the month. Light rain falling, pressure still slowly dropping, down to 988.7, 56/54.

Impressive amounts locally. Looks like we’re in the backside of the low and will be there for a few hours. I doubt we will get any heavy rain later with this backside hanging around.

3.68” here since midnight.

46 minutes ago, xram said:

Some heavy rain overnight. 4.41" for the day. Up to 12.51" for the month

Wow impressive totals since midnight. 3.68 here with light rain at 9:30 am. Radar is showing we will be in this for a couple of hours.