Will - Rutgers

1 minute ago, 495weatherguy said:

Absolutely potent and compact.   Rain like this has many more lulls than tonight’s rain

It has the appearance and demeanor of a decaying tropical cyclone.

Lightning earlier, and a very heavy steady rain.  Some gustier winds now too.

The prodigious precipitation this year has been something amazing.  Was forky correct when he said we're becoming a snowier Atlanta?  It's probably the most apt description of the 2010s climate I've heard so far.  But we're more prone to being in the rain shield because of our latitude.  This has been a relatively unusual extratropical cyclone.  Very potent, compact, but slow-moving.

Storm went from hours of heavy snow to an hour or two of moderate sleet and now ZR.  Temp 30.  We might never get plain rain.  Tomorrow's commute could be very rough even if the back-end precip does not verify.  And if it does, well forget it lol.

Winds starting to increase and take on a gustier disposition.

I'm not sure how to describe this but this isn't the strongest gradient.  Rather than a tight squall line, there's a significant gap between the mT and cP airmasses.  Basically a thick front.  Just instinctively it seems like strong CAA events like we'll experience tomorrow bring tighter squalls.

18 minutes ago, NycStormChaser said:

There have been many articles recently on the setups we have had, more so new england, but our area too the past few months. It is quite interesting. 

I dare say it, things are changing.  We may be in for some interesting weather over the next

Forever, I guess.

LOL @NycStormChaser I didn't even know that was you.

Great spot.

I saw the racing clouds and felt the temps and humidity and didn't think to check the sheer.  And I don't know what TOR parameters there are besides.  But it's amazing how many of these setups we have had.  What a goofball summer/fall.

BTW the significant tornado parameter map posted much earlier today did very well.  Lots of potential to the west that wasn't fully captured but overall, there's a tornado warning over my head I wasn't expecting 24 hours ago.  I'm impressed.

Just now, Tatamy said:

I have been under the FFW for over an hour now.  Reports of many local roads under water and impassable.

Understood.  I'm not giving any disrespect to the system in general, nor this event.  Just that it's not the first cell phone explosion I got where I was way out of the way of the event.  I'm not sure how these notifications are disseminated.  It's seemed weird to me.  Sometimes, oftentimes I'm underneath a really strong storm and get nothing.

3 minutes ago, NycStormChaser said:

That happens to me every single time, even when i expect it

I hate this crap, it's like "FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR YOUR AREA" except the AREA is 25 miles away.

3 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

That happened to me an hour ago.  These warnings are covering a large area.

We're well on the periphery of this.

I don't really blame the people managing this, I know enough about weather to know I'm not in danger.  It's basically for people who decide to go out driving, at least for my area.  For these storms I'm not even sure we're getting rain.

Tornado Warning alert on my phone scared the absolute goddamn piss out of me.

2 hours ago, Rtd208 said:

I'm curious to look at the FSU phase space diagrams as this thing exists the coast to see just how ET it really is.

What's shown by the HWRF looks more like something approaching the coast than something from the FL panhandle.

There's a lot of depth in this line, storm keeps pretending it's done and the wind and rain ramp right back up.  Some very long lightning strokes too, a few lasting two or three seconds.

9 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

For our PA friends. Yikes.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1514.html

 

Given the action already, this could be one of the most severe TOR outbreaks in the area in quite a while.  Wasn't expecting that today.

Been a fair while since it was this windy (and it's not even that windy).  I think that SW flow event in early August with the devastating E PA rains was the last time it was this windy.  I mean mostly it's been a slog of still, humid air.  The change of pace is refreshing but abrupt.

50 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

"Shaking felt thousands of miles away, devastation from Boston to DC as 8.0 magnitude Earthquake strikes along the Ramapo fault in NJ"

there's a better chance michael jordan wakes up with a full head of hair

Saw my last one on the 19th, there's some moderate warmth forecasted next week but it looks like these guys may be done.

42 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Wow, happy amx is back. Today was the quintessential early fall day! Should be an interesting week in the Atlantic.

Fall is right.  Crisp night outside.  No wind and mostly cloudy.

2 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

At this rate they'll be replacing us and building their own cities (or just taking over our own.)

 

I gave you a sad because I do not want to live under the authority of the mushrooms.

The mushrooms are beginning to gain sentience.

There is the distinct feeling in the air of a strong tropical warm front.  Albeit decaying.  But not like some warm front advecting into an extrotropical storm.  Just different.  Feels really nice to be outside.  The strong breeze is doing something for me.

10 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

What do you want? It’s been over land for days and has lost most of its tropical characteristics. 

I don't want anything, I'm talking about the weather?

The remnant low is pretty incoherent, you wonder what might've been with a decent cold front to drive cyclogenesis.  As it is looks like some spots could be in for 2+ inches while their neighbors starve.  I guess we'll see.

Just a few tonight in Piscataway.

22 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

 

Well they issued a tornado watch with several active warnings

Better late than never, I guess they figured activity isn't slowing down anytime soon.