Santa Claus

Ban all weenies.

On 3/2/2020 at 4:51 PM, forkyfork said:

how many times will the dewpoint hit 80 next summer?

Yes.

Feels like a spring morning.

6 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

Such a stupid game

the world is filled with all kinds of people lol...

On 2/19/2020 at 1:05 PM, CarLover014 said:

50 here as well. Feels great outside. The high cirrus clouds, if they stick around for awhile will set up for a pretty sunset this evening

Had a few great sunsets this week and some bigly yuge sun dogs on Wednesday.

It is very nice out today.  About 50 F, nice warm sun, bit breezy.

1 hour ago, Isotherm said:

As delineated hitherto

Just based on the radar and the weather outside I'm thinking the rain forecast is going to bust pretty low.

On 1/30/2020 at 11:03 AM, Will - Rutgers said:

It's going to have to snow pretty hard for anything to accumulate.  I'm thinking melting flakes at the shore, probably 1-2" N&W.

nobody liked my joke

i'm kinda sad about it

1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said:

The 0z ECMWF showed temperatures around 60° in parts of the area:

Source: Pivotal Weather

It's going to have to snow pretty hard for anything to accumulate.  I'm thinking melting flakes at the shore, probably 1-2" N&W.

7 hours ago, bluewave said:

The January highs and lows were nearly identical to Atlanta so far.

Atlanta.....72....23
NYC..........69....20.......EWR.....70....20

 

Forky nailed it months ago... we're Atlanta with snow.

Regardless of impacts to our locale... this is the second massive, impactful, country-spanning system in a week.  It's nice to see the shift.

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

The ensembles were never particularly great day 11+. It may just be that they are getting posted more with the rise of social media. So they are now coming under greater scrutiny.

Absolutely agree.  To borrow an investing phrase, people are "reaching for yield" because the shorter-term forecasts are brutal for snow chances, and we're looking into less-reliable products hoping for hope.

Also since this is the general OBS thread I'd like to OBS that it's brutally cold outside and my body is not ready because I was hiking in shorts last weekend and I have no idea what's going on anymore.

Check out the squall line obliterating the Southeast.

52 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

At this point my mentality is if it's not going to snow, may as well be warm, I don't mind the mild weather. The worst patterns to me are when it's cold but then storms track to the west and we warm and up and get rain.

Well you're definitely getting some warm(ish) and rain the next two days.  We might see some ridging this winter that allows for a warm and dry scenario.  I think some model posts showed it in this thread.

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

We may see the rare 70F+ temp pop up if that map is correct especially if there's a major cutter. 

Probably a bit aggressive but dunno if it's a fully-wienerable prediction, given how often we've seen warmth significantly undermodeled.  It's a strong signal to keep an eye on.

I'm not really sure what happened with my point-and-click, was expecting a gusty day but there's no wind outside.  I guess once this front moves through we'll see that transition.  Any chance of PA snow squalls making it through to NJ?

Just now, weatherpruf said:

This is sarcasm, right? 

bro come on

infrared radiation and the greenhouse effect are MSM hoaxes the left uses to force us to buy that ridiculous tesla cybertruck and i'm SICK OF IT

17/18 had an epic sleetstorm.  Hours of the heaviest pouring sleet I ever done seen, yessir.

Very nice day outside.  55/27 with no wind, partly cloudy.

40 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Sign me up. That was an epic 15 minutes. 

That was the least visibility I've ever had in a storm.  You could reasonably see maybe 5 feet in front of you.

this thread is a mess

Question is, if just some of these models hold serve, do they pop Ice Storm Warnings.  The event is on top of us.  Once that FZR starts falling it's too late.

I try not to be the guy running around the office telling everyone the sky is falling but there's some potentially hugely significant impacts and I don't think people have any idea what's up.

47 minutes ago, doncat said:

23° here this am...Notice  pressure at 30.74" my friends?

I did not, thank you for pointing it out.  Mongolia is lovely this time of year.

Mount Holly mentions isolated FRZ potential tomorrow morning for the colder parts of the board--heads up.  And then a rain/wind/rain sandwich from tomorrow through the middle of next week.  I wonder how ground saturation will start to impact area temperatures.  I guess it would moderate heating and cooling but I've never really thought about it before, or if it might affect sensible weather.