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Santa Claus

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Posts posted by Santa Claus

  1. 3 hours ago, bluewave said:

    The ensembles were never particularly great day 11+. It may just be that they are getting posted more with the rise of social media. So they are now coming under greater scrutiny.

    Absolutely agree.  To borrow an investing phrase, people are "reaching for yield" because the shorter-term forecasts are brutal for snow chances, and we're looking into less-reliable products hoping for hope.

    Also since this is the general OBS thread I'd like to OBS that it's brutally cold outside and my body is not ready because I was hiking in shorts last weekend and I have no idea what's going on anymore.

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  2. 52 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

    At this point my mentality is if it's not going to snow, may as well be warm, I don't mind the mild weather. The worst patterns to me are when it's cold but then storms track to the west and we warm and up and get rain.

    Well you're definitely getting some warm(ish) and rain the next two days.  We might see some ridging this winter that allows for a warm and dry scenario.  I think some model posts showed it in this thread.

  3. Mount Holly mentions isolated FRZ potential tomorrow morning for the colder parts of the board--heads up.  And then a rain/wind/rain sandwich from tomorrow through the middle of next week.  I wonder how ground saturation will start to impact area temperatures.  I guess it would moderate heating and cooling but I've never really thought about it before, or if it might affect sensible weather.

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