DDweatherman

What the NAM will probably do because of the heights on 12z is move that bullseye away and SE from the struggling NW crew.

Cannot wait to see the 12z NAM dupe us and look like 0z while we've seen hints of other models improving along with it. WHAT I'D RATHER SEE... is the NAM keep it up and tell y'all the Canadians were up to something last night. We'll know in 18 short minutes.

Rgem looked like a hammering in CMD/NVA, I’ll let someone post.

I will say, there are still a good bit of differences from how the GFS & Euro arrive at their outcomes.

I should have been clearer in my post, yes! Solid improvement and h5 looked better earlier on.

Looks like it, not even close.

IT wasn't ever

Now that I know what he said, why did we hide it? That’s good stuff

What did he post? Having known him for years nothing would surprise me I guess I could just text him lol

Cue Matt’s… next

Remember this is an IMBY sport. All us northern folks have been plenty nice and congratulatory to this point on the success to the SE, but let it be known that won’t be happening here. I too will take the CMC over everyone SE cashing in. Fortunately, as WWxLuvr, I like this storm to have the best chance of any to come NW. I personally like the trends upstairs on the GFS even though this run the jack was SE. Couple more moves in that direction please, post h84 RGEM also would make me happy.

Ignore the NAM please.

Wwxluvr just posted a record number of times in 4 minutes i think (6?)

All that matters is what the Ggem says!

Absolutely love this reference Pedro

There are soundings on tidbits now I believe?

Let's be honest, we didn't even do ice tracking well this time. The GFS led the charge and we thought it had a chance at being vastly different than a lot of guidance, but like they usually do, everything moved towards each other and converged in the middle. It won't be all rain for me or you, but it also most likely won't be .5" of ice either. I thought for a sec we were in trouble when the 12z GFS and then Euro and the 18z NAM had gotten icier, but pretty much everything has trended downwards from there.

WRF ARW is way nw/warmer with the front/temps vs 18z. This could trend all the way gone by gametime if those leary of ice keep rooting it on (until 12z trends colder again)

Well there's that too lol we'll get a storm when Randy's out of town next weekend.

It only has a minimal shot if that northern energy clears way outta the way

That's more accurate, same folks who saw ice and sleet on the NAM and Euro see it on the GFS. 6z was warmer then you saw 12z. For those who are in the impact zone, these are important runs. If the 0z GFS looks like 12z or the 18z NAM, thats not a good sign. We're getting to the point where we are starting to look at NAM's for thermals as well.

You make so many bad posts...

I just saw it and came over here to see if anyone said anything... this frame is not a bad look.... allowed the N wave to get out in front and give it some climb.

I'm in one of the danger zones for this one. Hmm nothing like being trapped for days in my hilly neighborhood with 2 kids (2 and <1 yr)

So you're saying I'm gonna get hit nicely in Carroll Valley? If so, I agree