DDweatherman
-
Posts
6,002 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by DDweatherman
-
The eye keeps tightening on radar as it comes in, that RFQ is going to be insane coupled with the upper levels to help mix down big gusts + a quick forward speed. What did you gust to in Laura? I’d expect you get a few 120-130mph gusts there in Perry.
-
Stay safe down there, need you for the winter tracking! She’s a monster now coming in, you’ll get all you bargained for it you’re holding steady in Perry.
-
100%, question will be where does it go after LF which is our biggest question. We pretty much know VLD will be near the eastern eyewall, but will see straighten up and move more due N or hold that NNE heading. huge implications for the 75 corridor depending on that outcome.
-
Note to add that once this gets into that part of Georgia and VLD northward, we start getting into some pretty densely populated areas (Warner Robbins, Macon, Albany, Athens)
-
Agree with this. Meanwhile someone from VLD-MCN is going to gust 100+ I’m starting to think.
-
This eastern eye wall is passing 80 miles from Tampa Bay. Talk about dodging a completely catastrophic event. The close calls can only go on for so long.
-
Been saying it all day but the Valdosta corridor to Albany, GA and up I 75 to Macon could be in for a wild ride with this forward speed and how intense Helene is going to be at LF. Could be their benchmark event relatively far inland.
-
Satellite is going pretty nuclear and the core is compacting really tightly on the local radars now. She’s coming in hot now folks. Look out @WxWatcher007
-
7pm update or a special might have this at 130-135 depending on our next sonde.
-
Radar presentation rapidly improving now from KTBW and KTLH. Tightening eye that’s compacting and wrapping the brighter echoes around the NW quad
-
Agree that the stronger she gets the more unlikely it would get tugged NW until the pressures came up a bit (ie the hi-res depictions of a certain threshold)
-
Starting to think based on some obs and radar this actually could go west of Perry unless we get some NNE-erly jog late on the approach. Could it come in around St Marks? Somewhere between the two seems feasible.
-
The effects other than surge will be a nuisance mostly for the Tampa St Pete metro. You guys get 50-60mph wind gusts from tropical systems plenty. The biggest concern, by far in places like Gulfport and those areas will be the surge. This evening’s high tide could bring a lot of water in that area.
-
Going to help the wind damage impacts penetrate further inland though..
-
Things are going to be really dicey it seems for Valdosta if current trends continue. They might be in the eyewall later this evening.
-
Dry air has been the theme of the season. Francine only flushed it out at the very last second and then she blasted right before landfall. She was a good mixer of winds to the surface in LA. Could see this tack on some strength on that final approach that mixes down winds more optimally.
-
I’ve driven that coast line and also driven the US 19/27/98 all the way to Destin, it’s low lying, quite poor areas that are very spread out population wise. I drove through there over a year after Michael and most of the damage off the immediate roads was almost untouched.
-
Yep, those spots down near Laurel and Osprey are low lying near Venice Beach. Some sit below sea level. I was just there this week, got out of town this morning.
-
I think we’re going to see her ramp up fairly nicely the next 4-6 hours.
-
Pretty concerning for Valdosta if they are on the eastern eyewall. It’s going to be hauling through there with bigtime winds. If this gets to major today might be a landmark event there.
-
Looking at Key West radar since we have the eastern eye wall in range, it’s more or less moving due N at the moment.
-
Yeah about 15 miles southeast from 0z, basically Steinhatchee. If this does LF there, the surge in cedar key could be devastating for sure. Even folks up the US19 coast from Tampa get a lot of water on that track and approach.
-
It has transitioned to that desert SW heat feeling last 2 hours, dews have tanked a bit. BWI 102/64 vs 96/70 at 11am.
-
That was my thought this morning. 100 at lunchtime is rare air.
-
Several of the wunderground stations in Baltimore already reporting obscene #'s (104,105). Obviously those are likely high, but it's absolutely UHI hell there today.
