olafminesaw

12 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Taylorsville in line to fucking get hit again 

I don't think it dropped, thank goodness

Big debris ball heading into the west side of Collins. Hoping it can miss just to the West 

Will head through a relatively populated part of the state 

While things are relatively quiet, any thoughts about tommorow in the Carolina's? Seems like the SPC outlook is pretty tame while local mets are hyping it up a bit. 

1 hour ago, sarcean said:

This suforum covers those states literally right at the top it says 

Southeastern States

Covering Southern VA, NC, SC, GA, FL, AL, and MS.

My bad, I misremembered. I do feel though they are a world a way climate-wise. Would be nice to have more posters from those states

16 minutes ago, kayman said:

Speak for yourself.

My immediate family members including my parents live in the Greater Birmingham area of Central Alabama.  I am legitimately concerned for them.

This forum and thread cover the entire Southeast from MS, AL, GA, FL, Southern VA, SC, NC and not just your area. 

Please read the room and have some sense of respect for those of us concerned about the possible severe weather outbreak threat across the Southeast.

I agree, but it does suck that AL & MS don't really have a subforum that's truly theirs. Technically they fall on the western states sub, but nobody posts there from the deep south 

4 minutes ago, nvck said:

MDT got even bigger on the latest D1 outlook

Parts of Alabama are in the moderate day 1 and high day two 

3 minutes ago, ATDoel said:

I think Mississippi might take the crown there, but only just.  I've also noticed our peak tornado season has shifted to March, where historically it's usually been more in April.

Pretty darn close

They actually reduced the wind threat, removing the 45% area entirely. I guess that may be due to increased confidence in super cell storm mode, which don't tend to produce a wide swath of high straight line winds 

14 minutes ago, GaWx said:

For what area and when is the SPC mentioning 60-100 mph gusts?

Day 1 for the Midwest in the discussion. Probably better question for the Lakes/Ohio valley subforum, kinda forgot this was the SE thread!

Today's SPC discussion mentions gusts of 60-100mph. Can anyone think of a time when the SPC mentioned wind gusts that high, excluding Derecho setups?

This AI model is a bit more aggressive for the Carolinas. I love a good strong storm, but hoping that we can keep the high end stuff from materializing.

32 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

This looks like a non event in central Carolina’s. Euro and Canadian don’t even hardly rain here

I don't know if I can think of a single storm system over the past 6 months that didn't lose momentum once it got into our region. 6 out of the last 7 years have been above average rainfall, so this may buck the trend and be below average.

Focus of this one seems to be west of the Apps for now thank goodness

It would seem based on obs, that little or none of this band is reaching the ground . Quite a dry airmass! 

One last fantasy run for old times sake?

5 minutes ago, suzook said:

It seemed much colder due to the prolonged extreme cold days we had. But throw in the way above normal days we had too, and it only wound up being just a touch below normal. Definitely an odd winter for sure.

We also just forget what a below normal winter feels like. The cold stretches were fairly impressive but mainly because they were sustained rather than because of near record cold. In fact, the coldest low of 15 at GSO is above the average coldest temp of 9. The min-max was somewhat more impressive at 23 vs the average of 27, putting it in about the 25th percentile.

Lol!

Comparing the 9z sounding to current on the HRRR,  check out the lift on the left hand side, seems the drizzle was a result of subsidence, stabilizing the atmosphere  (even though neither sounding has CAPE)

The line is picking up steam as it enters the more favorable environment 

6 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

Report of a tree and power lines down in Winston Salem. 

Almost had a microburst look to it. I'm assuming the bow echo was able to bring down higher winds aloft, has weakened since