mimillman

Snowing nicely here and side roads are covered. Would like to see south of us fill in 

3 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said:

Good luck getting an accurate one 

NAM either pulls epic coup (doubtful this time) or epic fail 

Other notable trends across most models (exception RGEM) is lower amounts but tend to agree whoever is in the sweet spot will push 6”. In these setups i do favor the IL/WI border for that, particularly closer to the lake, but 50 miles north and south of that spot should do fine too

That is a very large bump south 

This looks to be last event for foreseeable future 

QPF comes down on GFS and RGEM, latitude stays the same 

13 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

You work for the Merc? My father was a commodity trader at the CBoT from 83’-15’

I trade commodities but not for the merc 

I can buy a miss north in this set up, but I don’t buy strengthening SLP leading to rain along I80

Had to leave the floor in the middle of the trading day for this one 

Oh baby 

25 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

big dbz downtown

Yea this was good 

1 minute ago, Malacka11 said:

Aren't the Canadians actually farther south?

The global is the regional is not.

Also anyone notice this recent trend to bring in some more Gulf moisture?

1 minute ago, hawkeye_wx said:

The 00z GFS nudged north as well.

3 hours ago, mimillman said:

This seems realistic and in line with my thoughts.

Ill go 3-6” for majority of LOT CWA with closer to 1-2” in the southern counties.

Rarely see these two have carbon copy agreement 

The NAM is a far northern outlier so far in tonight’s guidance albeit most models have ticked north slightly / changed orientation of the main axis of heaviest precipitation 

RGEM a smidge north but not by much

This seems realistic and in line with my thoughts.

Ill go 3-6” for majority of LOT CWA with closer to 1-2” in the southern counties.

This is the event. We’ve had consistent SN and SN- all day and road conditions are actually poor in the city right now 

RGEM is pretty cool. Too bad these events never pan out for Chicagoland 

Best rates of the 2 days

Solid SN and much better than anything yesterday 

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

Next

Lol there is no next 

Outside of an overperformer this weekend, what could have been a promising stretch has been lackluster. The extended looks wholly unremarkable

14 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Today will end up snowier all said and done than yesterday lol

Yup

I do have to say, outside of the short window this AM prior to rush hour, this event underperformed expectations IMBY. We have no remaining accumulation, I certainly underestimated how marginal thermal profiles were. 
 

Generally speaking this is the first time I’ve heard such wide scale complaining  from regular people in terms of lack of snowfall. ORD’s recording season to date aside— which is already lackluster— there has really only been one event this winter with accumulation lasting longer than 12 hours, and that was the pre Christmas storm.