mimillman

As depicted, arrival of WAA snows Friday morning would suggest watches posted after 12z suite tomorrow

Oh euro

9 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Hoping for 6” at this point. Higher end totals appear off the table. Heavy bands are pretty transient 

Hoping the ground dries out quickly here so Thursday mood flakes don’t melt on contact 

GEM also ticks east but nice lake enhancement signal for those getting screwed today 

14 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

ICON hopped way back north, so I'm predicting the GFS will do the same.

Nope

3 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Got maybe an inch of slushy on the roads/concrete last night, but should be a solid base for accums once the defo band starts up later this morning. 

I guess I don’t feel too bad if this also happened to you 

3 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

Final call of 6" on the miss south/east thanks to some lake assist 

I’ll take the under 

Looks like about a coating of slush and RN 

SN has begun here Wicker Park

5 minutes ago, CIllinoisSnow said:

I’m nervous as well (although being 90 miles south of Chicago I knew I wasn’t gonna get much) but it’s looking like I really might struggle to get even a couple inches now 

Temps matter more at 850 than at the surface 

1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said:

There hasn't been a NW trend with the current storm system in a while.

I was referring to the trend that really began Friday and extended through Saturday evening, relating to the current system. It obviously stabilized after that and has shifted back SE some

3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Radar looks good

You will bust low, I will bust high. But a 2-4” event from SLP tracking over the city is a win.

Finding it challenging to get behind this with 96 hours until showtime and the 6-run trend northwest with the current system. I’ll come back on Wednesday.

2 minutes ago, snowman33 said:

12/26/09 is an event that comes to mind that had an extreme gradient through the Chicago metro.

Ricky brought up November 2018. ORD had a significant event, downtown had a dusting

21 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

too early even for me to attempt to final call but i'm more worried about rain than a miss south/east

QC win

5 hours ago, mimillman said:

12z EPS similar. 3 runs in a row of this and we’re back in the game 

So much for that 

58 minutes ago, mimillman said:

12z euro starting the 24 hour trend to shift this puppy back SE

12z EPS similar. 3 runs in a row of this and we’re back in the game 

12z euro starting the 24 hour trend to shift this puppy back SE

This 00z GFS 150 hour depiction looks familiar 

850mb doesn’t heat up as much on the EPS as it does on the GEFS. With this track I’d tend to lean more with the GEFS unless this trends back southeast

Just now, SchaumburgStormer said:

If this is like the old school wrapped up lows, we will see a NW over correction that then comes back to the SE as we get closer. 

Hopium

Not loving trends. 850mb is on fire 

This GFS run is bonkers

Liking the look of that 12z EPS

Im feeling good about this one for a moderate event in the LOT CWA.

Will go 5-8”