mimillman

Yea the NAM is admittedly disastrous 

4 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

You love the SREF

3 minutes ago, Stebo said:

The lake isn't your friend with this storm. It's going to be a white rain downtown more than likely.

Perhaps with lighter returns yes. Under heavier bands and a deepening low, it should rip and stack quickly. The low is slightly further east and temps in the upper atmosphere are significantly more favorable than the last storm. Granted, the last storm we got nothing, so it’s a low bar.

This should be significantly better than the last system as currently modeled for the immediate metro. 0c 850mb barely gets into southern cook county and has an E/W orientation at the storms peak while the last one had 0c 850 into DuPage and Lake counties. 925mb was also well above freezing in the last storm. I’m not ruling out a jog north which could put that in jeopardy, but as progged it is a different ballgame. Ratios will be very poor, probably 8:1 type.

13 minutes ago, hlcater said:

 

idk why those are all so blurry but you get the idea

Last 2 are great shots 

SLP shifted a solid 100 miles NW

Oh boy

At hour 48 on the GFS. Heights are more amped ahead of the low, which is also deeper. SE ridge is more pronounced and trough is digging deeper. This is coming west this run

15 minutes ago, mimillman said:

Think the ICON is about to go nuts again

 

Think the ICON is about to go nuts again

NAM east, RGEM west. Fun

57 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

The same January event listed for ORD, so two that winter. Prior to that you have to go back to GHD2.

Yea, 2021 was the savior. Also distinctly remember this event that was pure awesome, some of the best rates I remember seeing in my life:

https://www.weather.gov/lot/2021jan19

Outside of 2021, pretty poor

2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

The last double digit and 12"+ event downtown was Feb 14-16th, 2021. 

https://www.weather.gov/lot/Feb14-16_HeavySnow

The last double digit event at ORD was Jan 30-31st, 2021 and the last 12"+ event was GHD2.

https://www.weather.gov/lot/2021jan3031_snow

ah yes remember that one. How about before that?

3 minutes ago, Chambana said:

Chicago has had the hot hand for awhile. They’ve reeled in quite a few big dogs over the years. 

I don’t think we’ve had a double digit storm in the city proper since 2015

3 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Did the city proper get any accumulation?

No. It is raining now 

23 minutes ago, Chambana said:

Alek was worried about miss south, they are reeling this one in too. 

Sorry, what do you mean “too”

Lol the Euro is either going to be crowned or burst into flames 

1 minute ago, Stebo said:

Nah this storm is going to go west and make sure it clubbers Chicago while it rains again here.

If it does I’ll eat my words since I took the under on 6” due to a miss southeast. Still prefer that over whatever sh*t we had here today.

Speaking of which, I’ll go final call 3-5” here with saving grace the WAA.

3 minutes ago, Stebo said:

Oh yeah totally love it. At this point I'm just going to stop talking about this storm because the minute I say anything it blows up in my face. Congrats Chicago

Honestly when all is said and done with this, best place to be will probs be south central Michigan.

The difference between the Loop and Wicker Park is insane. Snow sticking to Milwaukee Ave and coming down at good pace 

Downtown has flipped to SN

Stebo is gonna love the 18z ICON

It’s not a party until the NAM is on your team 

RN+ downtown