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HIPPYVALLEY
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Everything posted by HIPPYVALLEY
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4”- 6” back this way as I fear we never get beyond moderate snow based on the orientation of the better bands. -
Tuesday morning disaster commute.
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That's the part that's hard to trust as a jaded weenie. I'm much more enthusiastic, than I was earlier today but still cautious of a trend towards shredded S stream tomorrow.
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That's what we call a snow shield moving in.
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Be nice to get a lot of peeps in on this one. We were sweating the crappy air mass last week but it looks like this one, might give NYC to Portland, at least a a few inches of snow and much more for some areas in between.
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Great, I'll gladly take the scraps from that.
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There will be some decent deformation bands well inland. Can't hate this look for a region wide, snow lovers high five.
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Hammer time, even gives NYC some love.
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That would work for many.
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You know, good question, I don't really know what goes on behind the scenes in the weather model world.
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Moving way to fast for big QPF. Probably a high end max of 1.5"LE somewhere in SNE and that might be pushing it.
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Summer sunshine beer, ICON has probably been hitting the Doppelbock.
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Some models moved towards more confluence today. Goalposts will be much more defined by 12z solutions tomorrow. Better sampling of all the players involved.
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Couldn't care less about jackpots, just want to see a period of +SN, because in reality, that in and of itself, can be a rarity some winters.
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I'm not going to get too worked up in either direction because as @weatherwizsaid, need to see where that best fronto sets up and might not know that for another day or so.
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SOP looks good for the moment. I'm conservatively going 4-6" here. My area up through S VT/NH gets saved by a pretty expansive precipitation shield moving into the confluence. Southern streamer is bringing decent moisture but don't want to see any trends weaker with that because for my area sheared = screwed.
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I'm mildly concerned about 8 hours of arctic sand N of RT 2. edit: and W of ORH Co.
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I feel like a lot of people are thinking about the spike before they have actually gotten into the end zone. Hopefully everyone from NYC to CNE gets plowable snows but I think the band of 8”+ will be narrow.
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Your optimism is a welcome balance to my jaded outlooks when it comes to snow accumulations in the upper Valley.
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Six hours of moderate to occasionally heavy snow sounds about right for many. Crumbs either side of that.
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6-8 hour storm outside of flurries before and after.
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I can’t even remember the last slow mover, juggernaut we had.
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We tried to tell them.
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Yeah, I’m just feeling cautious on this one. Let’s see how modeling goes once we get into some better sampling tomorrow. I’m just worried about S stream coming in weaker and getting suppressed. are you thinking we start to see slightly more amped north trends showing up?
