DeltaT13

3 hours ago, Flying MXZ said:

Yea, I don't know what was wrong with here.  I'm not adding another spot to my timewasters.

Yeah I also have very little interest in joining the discord. I’m sure I’ll head there next winter if it’s the only option though. 

12 minutes ago, vortmax said:

Canadian MUCH less:

From past experiences of these late season storms, I would buy this output.  You really need to be under the strongest forcing to have any chance of accumulating snows, especially if you don't have any elevation on your side.  The NAM seems to be forgetting its late April and not January.   

1 hour ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Can't believe what I'm seeing on the Euro and EPS for early next week. Hopefully it doesn't pan out. I already got everything ready for spring.

It’s just a couple day of glancing cold. It’ll be a blip. I wouldn’t sweat it. 

12 hours ago, Leelee said:

I have a friend near Williston and they are not pleased about the weather there. They get true blizzards that we very rarely get.

I feel like blizzard warnings on the plains are far more tame than if we got a blizzard warning here, they seem to throw them around like candy for even the most minor events.  They can get 3 inches of snow and high winds and its a "blizzard" because of low visibility for 12 hours.  Underwhelming in my opinion.  Our blizzards almost always entail extremely heavy snow along with the reduced visibilities and winds.  Now all that said, this current storm is a true blizzard by any definition with both heavy snow, extremely strong winds, and very low visibilities...not to mention a duration of nearly 3 days.  One of the biggest plains storms in recent memory.  

How nice would this be!

1 hour ago, cny rider said:

I'd say give them a chance.

This is a very different team than the one that took to the ice last fall.

I've been a hockey fan for decades.  The Sabres of the last 3 years were unwatchable for me they were so bad. I couldn't get through a game because the lack of skill and more importantly the lack of effort was repulsive.

The talent level now is rising rapidly and the effort is there. So is the coaching. These guys are young and hungry and want to win.

If UPL is any good in goal next year, or they can add a good veteran goalie, they could be competing for a playoff spot this time next year.

 

 

We shall see.  I've never been more sour about this team than I have become during the last 3 years.  I had season tickets back in the 90's at the Aud so I'm not some recent fan that just thinks this team stinks...I've been on this ride for a long time.  For a long time hockey and the Sabres were hands down my favorite sport.  Since the 2006-2007 season it has been a steady and painful decline with each year being more embarrassing than the previous one.   The Sabres failed to qualify for the 2008 playoffs and became only the third team in NHL history to go from finishing first overall in the regular season standings to finishing out of the playoffs the following year.   Then just a few years back we won 10 in a row (This is when RJ coined the term, this team is good, scary good) and we thought the time had come for change.  That season went on to spiral into one of the worst of the decade.  I won't be sold that we are on the right trajectory until we can get some back to back seasons that show promise..... so at the earliest it'll be 2024 before I'm convinced that true change has occurred, and yes we need a god damn franchise goaltender.  Ugh, the pain of being a Buffalo sports fan.  

9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Yeah I really don't follow sabres hockey so I had no idea lol Figured you guys probably knew, I post good and bad sporting news on here, good luck to you guys next year

Yeah, we knew about 10 games into the season and I'm not exaggerating.  This team is a dumpster fire, even with these last few weeks of garbage time wins I'm not sold there is any real change on the horizon.  

37 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

10% may not seem like alot but that’s almost 15 million extra homes for families 

My point is that they arent the ones driving the problem as 90% of the private real estate investors are charging the same jacked up prices. 

3 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

The real problem with the housing market are these large real estate companies buying up hundreds and thousands of homes and renting them out. With interest rates so low these huge companies took advantage to make billions on the backs of the everyday American citizen. The lack of supply and increasing rental rates due to these massive corporations caused the dramatic rise in price of homes. The very low interest rates didn't help. 

While I think these large investment firms are definitely an issue, they account for less than 10% of the total rentals in the entire country.  The rental industry (private investors included) as a whole is gobbling up massive amounts of homes.   

Also, I think many of you will find this video very interesting if you didnt see it on 60 minutes

1 hour ago, cny rider said:

His writing style is not my favorite.  It seems like he just throws a bunch of *stuff* against the wall looking to see what sticks.

I'm not even sure the data he presents always supports his conclusions.

I'd take the other side of a trade against this guy given the opportunity.

 

I don’t know, I’m familiar enough with some of the those metrics to understand the ramifications. I went looking for info because some of the things I’m seeing in the real estate market right now are really unbelievable.  It really does feel like we are on the verge of a bubble again.  Houses on my street are selling for 80% higher than they were just 14 months ago.  
There are other metrics that I’m unfamiliar with too and agree it’s a lot of info and the writing is a bit sloppy, but I understood the general gist and it’s agrees with a lot of what I’m seeing. 

2 hours ago, Polarbear said:

Boo,  I don’t have an alpha account….

Is there a paywall or something?  I didn't have an issue and don't have an account?  Maybe because I'm on a university network?

Anyone with an interest in our economy should give this a read.  Really breaks down what the crazy housing market is currently up and it's not pretty.

https://seekingalpha.com/amp/article/4498666-us-housing-is-a-dead-man-walking

Of course we end up under the pivot point of a wintry low in April and somehow it’s snow. While this same setup in January would have somehow given me rain. 

Pretty nice satellite showing the highly localized lake snows from the past few days.  Quite the strip through wayne county with an impressive drop off just to the NorthEast!  The wispyness of the snow cover East of Huron is also pretty interesting.  

6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

Man this is terrifying, seeing a lot of accidents due to the squalls..

 

That first car in the video has the dumbest driver I've ever seen.  Just hanging out and chilling as if its not an ongoing super dangerous situation.  He then goes from the dumbest person to the luckiest guy in the world at 42 seconds.  If you are ever in a situation like this, get out of your car and get the **** up and off the highway ASAP!

Georgian bay connection looking very strong as the coldest air is deepening the convective layer over GB as per this latest loop.   Taking aim at Monroe county. 

18 hours ago, tombo82685 said:

Do you worry about mold and what not down there with the dampness? Or is it not really damp anymore 

I run a dehumidifier whenever it is warm enough to do so which is typically April though early November. During that time, it probably clears close to 70 pints of water everyday. Then during winter the house is so dry there is no moisture concern.  Keeping a good coat of sealer on the walls will also help. It’s manageable with just the most basic amount of effort in my opinion. 

20 hours ago, tombo82685 said:

So the parish house was a no go. One thing I've learned in this area, basements or any foundation below ground is a negative. Completely different than philly area, this area and drainage is terrible. Anyways, curious to get yours and @TugHillMatt thoughts on these 3 houses im looking at. These are in the rome area. 1 is about 9.5 miles northeast of rome or about 4 iles nw of holland patent. Nice house, it's up on a mtn, elev about 1250. The other is about 2 miles northwest of remsen, elev about 1350. Final one is about 2 miles west of west leydon, elev 1560. Whats nice about the west leydon house, its in the heart of the tug, but only 16 miles from Rome, which is hell of a lot better than lowville to watertown. 

I would guess that greater than 95% of houses in upstate have a basement. I would never ever consider purchasing a house without one. The amount of stuff in my basement is pretty ridiculous. It’s such valuable space. 
 

I will say that my basement will flood within hours without supplemental pumping in the event of a power outage,  but I’ve got redundant systems installed and have had little issue over the years. 

26 degrees and what little snow we have is melting faster than it’s accumulating. That high sun angle can’t be stopped. 

You’d never guess this was a loop from the last week of March. 
 

Just now, rochesterdave said:

It’s so ridiculous. When will they learn?!? I totally agree with your sentiments above- we’ll be lucky to get an inch or two in the grass. 
I was at Holiday Valley last Friday and it was getting very thin. Are they even open?

Yeah today is spring fest with pond skimming. Not sure the trail count but obviously greatly reduced. I think it’s shitty they are still charging full price. $93 bucks tomorrow. Ooof

2 hours ago, vortmax said:

Kind of interesting placement of WNY band just south of the shoreline. Seems a little odd to me. 

It seems odd because it’s not going to happen. Lol

1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

One last ridiculous fantasy map for the year. Ugh. Rochester isn’t getting more than an inch or two on the grass at best. The bands tomorrow will be ridiculously cellular and the snow will struggle mightily to accumulate. 

I am however eyeing cattaraugus county though. Can holiday valley salvage a decent day with a little elevation?  They are right on the cusp according to the point and click. I’d make one last run if I knew they could get 6. 

1 hour ago, rochesterdave said:

I wonder if Holiday Valley will even be open this weekend? 

You mean because of the rain?  They are having a huge festival there all day with bands so it should be full steam ahead, albeit a soggy day, I almost was going to go, glad I'm not now.  Next week is the Spring carnival and I plan to be there for that as long as it isnt raining, you gotta love watching that pond skimming at the bottom of Yodeler.  

Bristol is still 100 percent open with a 30-50 inch base.  I'll be there on Friday for some delightful slushy laps.

It was a solid day on the mountain with snow falling all day and it was a dense but dry consistency. I don’t think we got more than 6 inches though. Still more than enough to make it really fun.