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SleetStormNJ

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Everything posted by SleetStormNJ

  1. SleetStormNJ
    Only Ant trying to hack it over and over again so his call looks conservative.
  2. SleetStormNJ
    I’m too lazy maybe to look officially but wasn’t the Feb 2013 monster that dumped LI and CT a Miller B?
  3. SleetStormNJ
    That’s inferred in my post. I assume most of us are caught up on the Miller classifications. If not, I’ve seen some good Miller Bs for my area in NJ. Dec 2003, Jan 2005, couple last decade of variety in scale, and even fringed on a few that slammed LI late the last decade.
  4. SleetStormNJ
    One thing I have learned with setups like these more so than Miller As is expect to be on edge of seat either way and surprised. Some develop too slowly or have sloppy transfer/development and others just explode.
  5. SleetStormNJ
    Agreed. One commonality that is significant in all the models now is the stronger frontogenesis and moisture transport and thus QPF on the models. Another thing to watch. Getting a feeling some locations in PA are going to get the 30” marker.
  6. SleetStormNJ
    The Euro made significant shifts in that direction too after holding steady days earlier contesting the GFS solution a bit.
  7. SleetStormNJ
    Way too early for people living and dying by model runs folks. This still has a good 2 plus day chunk to evolve. It's like people don't learn from the past and thus repeat this weird self-abusing psychological game.
  8. SleetStormNJ
    Very bullish on this threat. Lots of ingredients are there. Feel confident in at least some kind of storm and significant weather impact. Still time to go and of course the swings people feel with modelology, but the ULL/bowling ball look is promising.
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