Real talk, I think this might be a decent event for your neck of the woods and points NNW of you. I mean, it's not going to be a world ender, but hey...it's activity I guess.
In all seriousness, this is a Mason Dixon event and it looks like it could be impactful up there. @mappy Good luck. I'll send you pics with my lights on.
NS s/w associated with TPV(?) is dropped further south and west a bit. Southern SW is a bit further west still vs 6z.
I don't think this is the run we are looking for.