Imma wait to see if the experts above are right before I pack it in. Other than that and models showing this exact thing happening (rain first), I dunno...maybe we shouldn't be so pessimistic?
Temp drop didn't help...looks like light rain started..hopefully don't waste more than an hour with this. Shame too, nice heavy echo S and SW of me incoming
Sorry to you and baltimorewx. The NAM is improved. My thoughts and prayers are with you both. The RGEM/GFS are sure to disappoint, so all is not lost. Stick around.
Day ain't over yet. If the NAM gets worse, I'm logging off. Not because we are going to get fooked, but because the Negative Nancy's are gonna have a misery fest the likes of which have never been seen.
No. Trust me. I can summarize without the doom scrolling: Models are drier. Surface is kinda torchy (which models showed), but areas to the south reporting quick flip. Model comes in with a 2 mile shift SE and there is wholly exaggerated dooming again. More likely than not we come up short.
Basically a normal mid Atlantic storm.
It is what it is. It's not looking good, but certain posters here have singlehandedly brought down the mood of the board. This place is a funeral with people picking the rigor'd meat off the carcass.