Iceagewhereartthou

Is anyone seeing a single fantasy map show anything frozen for SC? I haven't seen a single one the past couple of days. Pretty bad when you can't even find fantasy snow in the heart of "winter."

Well, I enjoyed my winter the past 3 days. Would've been nice to see some snow but a 3 day window doesn't give much opportunity. Back to above average and then spring in 3 weeks baby. I love the upstate!

I used to be a big golfer before kids, so I can understand this, BUT, its been plenty warm enough for golf. In fact cool weather is way better for golf in my book. The problem the past couple winters has been rain, not cold. And there'll be plenty of heat later on. I say bring on as much cold as we can get and hopefully some frozen please. In years past I would say we have until the first week of March but that doesn't seem to be the case anymore. Still hoping to see a better pattern emerge for Feb.

I hope all my SC peeps are enjoying our half week of winter here. No snow at all, but a few days of below average may be the best we get this year.

Saw that too. Must be nice!

And as a South Carolina fan I can tell you that hope really has a tremendous effect on reality! ...

Why, oh why, can't that low be off the the coast of N Orleans?

Man, that's just painful to look at.

Better go ahead and order one online now then.

I understand, that's incredible agreement for that lead time. The Euro and GFS are normally like Republicans and Democrats, they can't agree on anything! This whole 24th-30th week should be a good period to watch going forward.

Man that's a classic (the movie and the mower), they'll run forever.

The top image reminds me a lot of the Feb 14 map the Euro spit out the day before for me and Mack. That was supposed to be a generational storm (actually had amounts about 50% higher); had the mets going big dog, and the stinking WAA went off the charts and sleeted us to death. That was a crusher. Again, great to see potential, but hour 360? Might as well be hour 23,304. Going to be fun to have some things to watch going forward for sure though!

I don't do much myself given my lawn situation; just a little right up around the house. I used to just chop them with my mower but I've been pushing the last few years after my rider pooped out on me. My little boy loves to rake leaves (God Bless him!) so I'll take advantage of that while I can.

So a double low and that high is TOTALLY different. Make that 1032 and we've got something. It's fantasy land anyway but fun to look at and analyze.

I hear you. I think I still have yet to mow Dec, Jan, Feb, mostly because I refuse to, and also b/c I don't have a true lawn and can get away with it. So many trees keep me from having to mow a ton anyway. We didn't have peak leaf season this year until nearly Thanksgiving, by far the latest I've ever seen. If this keeps up our trees won't have to drop leaves anymore and (while tragic) at least we'll get out of raking!

That is a thing of beauty, no doubt. It really is too bad such setups and storms are so rare around here. I think we all know there's almost no chance a storm, even remotely, like this will happen, but it does show potnetial for the upcoming time period for something. Let's hope most of us will see snow sometime over the next few weeks.

That Low is in a PERFECT spot for many. Too bad that High isn't placed better. Love to see highs over NE and NY with that low placement!

I'll completely pass on an ice storm. If its sleet that's fine and I'll take that but no zr. Zr is pretty for a but you can have zero fun with it. Jus the leaves a mess with no redeeming quality. Snow, sleet, or nothing please.

I'd give up any and all snow for quite awhile to see that evil team go down. GEAUX LSU!

It looks like that curves back into the circle, then probably back into phases 3 and 4, completely bypassing the colder phases of 8,1, and 2 no? That's not at all what we want to see going into Feb. Just a couple days ago we saw it modeled with a much wider arc into 7 looking to go into 8. If this is correct well have a very short window and that could be it.

Just my two cents on the upcoming possible pattern change; love the trends and we've certainly waited for our turn. Couple things I'm looking for; really interested to see where the southeast ridge and resulting storm track sets up; that's been a huge deal breaker for us for years now. Lots of Highs showing up on maps for that time period, as many as 6 or 7 on some maps. That would really lend itself to overrunning Miller A types which would help more of the board, so lets see if that continues. Also, I'm temepering any excitement until at least Wed of next week. Let's get the time period within 5 days to get a better sense of where we're heading. Track on.

I know a lot of us will be watching ahead looking for the possible pattern change, but man, oh man, at the coming setup. NWS has my low over the next 7 days at 51! Not sure I've ever seen a week like this in January before, at least not for that long of a stretch. Highs 15-20 above normal and lows 20-25 above! Severe weather and possible tornadoes for much of the SE, rain and storms all the way from upper midwest through New England. This is totally nuts.

I think the high North of that would be your blocking high with the low you're ralking about acting as the 50/50 low, though it would be better a bit South of there. The high over Maine is the cold air source. One would think the Missouri low would be a bit South of there, or at least push SE from there with the high, though I think we want a high in the 1040 range and the low over LA instead. That particular look (though obviously fantasy at this range) looks to put most of us in the warm sector looking for ZR if anything. IDK, maybe Grit or Wow or someone better than me could chime in?

Yep. Hard to track worms and storms, but I don't think I have ever seen that storm myth pan out.

BTW, I think this is a total myth and there's nothing to it, but thought some of you would appreciate that I saw a woolly worm today. It was black on both ends but sold brown in the middle half. Cold in Nov and cold Feb following warm Dec/Jan?