Moonhowl
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Everything posted by Moonhowl
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Life in the warm nose would be great right now
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Have fun!
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Had to look, still some skiers out there, wouldn't want to drive down that mountain in this. Just started a sleet freezing rain mix IMBY.
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A wedgie is usually best avoided but there are exceptions
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Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
Moonhowl replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
30 F IMBY in Asheville, a few sleet pellets earlier but nothing since. -
There were some things about the forecast and models that don't make sense to me. Reluctant to say anything other than we will see how it turns out.
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Southern Crippler - Get well soon Jimbo Storm Obs
Moonhowl replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
32.0 F RH 45% -
Ha,too bad I won't be able to see your reports, lol. Did split a fare amount of firewood yesterday. Coincidentally, today I am working on the same drainage system as I did leading up to Helene. Some critter decided to start plugging the pipes with mud so I had to dig it up, dang varmits.
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Meanwhile, at Sugar Mountain:
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I've been through a storm that had 5 inches of nothing but sleet. Not a problem for trees but flat roofs on the other hand...
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With the 20 degree F freezing rain the NWS has forecast for Saturday night, I guess the top of Mt Mitchell will be having a tropical rain.
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Not what I wanted to see in the NWS GSP forecast discussion this morning: While the system moves into the area, the colder air appears to get a slight delay in arrival, thanks in part to a developing shortwave moving over the southeast. This could create a brief period of isentropic ascent with moisture lagging, ahead of the colder air. What this does is help to create a warm nose sooner than originally expected. A warm nose means more ice/sleet than snow.
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Just looked at the NWS forecast for Asheville and saw this: Saturday Night Snow and freezing rain before 8pm, then freezing rain between 8pm and 4am, then freezing rain and sleet after 4am. Low around 18. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Sunday Freezing rain before 1pm Then add wind. This is starting to remind me of Helene. What is the worst case scenario; mother nature says lets do it. Still hard to believe it would be that cold and not be sleet.
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Winds still cranking here with a toasty 18 F IMBY
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Congrats on getting some snow! Didn't see a flake IMBY.
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Enough cold to produce a cold rain for my neck of the woods, oh well, at least I got to see a few flakes last night.
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Happy Thanksgiving everyone! Get those snow blowers going, hoping to get in some early December
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2025 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Moonhowl replied to Maggie Valley Steve's topic in Southeastern States
The cool down after the storms the past few days has been fabulous. -
Barely a dusting here, wind cranking. Still a little PTSD from Helene, didn't make for a restful night.
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So your saying not a March 1993 repeat
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Glad there is rain on the way, still worry about slope stability with heavy rain in the forecast.
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The typical scenario is spring for a week or two in February, second winter starts in March and other than brief warm-ups lasts until the first week in May then summer. So, since you missed spring, the second week in May?
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I agree. I am expecting the teleconnections to repeatedly go into a cold pattern throughout the spring. I suspect any warm ups will be followed by more cold on up into the first week of May. We will see...
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Went cross country skiing on the Parkway from the Hwy 276 intersection toward Shining Rock thanks to that event. They had plowed the Parkway to Pisgah Inn by the time we got up there. A long time ago but I don't recall seeing any snow in the downtown Asheville area.
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Winters of 2009-2010 and early 2010-2011 before the February 2011 warm up were epic. Haven't seen anything remotely similar since then; certainly no 10 inch snows IMBY. Not quite as excited about big snows as I used to be since my steep driveway is not usable with even a 1/4" on it. Good exercise but snow shoveling was getting a little old in 2010, lol.
