Moonhowl

Good luck, sending big miss vibes your way. At least we can be confident it isn't going to be hanging around very long.

No doubt it is stressing me out; I have family in Wilmington, NC and Raleigh, NC although not as worried about Raleigh.

Not going to bother to count but for Dorian, I wonder how many individual model runs posted are on the left side of the NHC cone of uncertainty vs. the right side...

Well, to keep it real, the last place in the world to come for an objective view of the true probability of landfall is a weather message board; I suppose it serves the purpose of compiling in one place all the worst case scenarios which certainly aren't beyond the realm of possibility.

As of yesterday; Asheville is 2.5" of rain ahead of last year which was the wettest on record. I've heard old timers speak of dry spells with stuff called dust that comes from mud.

Well, warm weather does bring crickets

Congrats! Nice to have another member of the Pack in WNC.

Just saw that as well; what a bummer. His parting statement can be found on the WRAL website here: https://www.wral.com/greg-fishel-announcement/18190287/

Don't worry all the teleconnections will set up perfectly this year just the "in winter" part of it will be fail.

I am certainly enjoying it. Last year in this neck of the woods the warm week in February was pretty much it for any extended warm weather until May. Come mid-April when the wind is gusting to 40 mph and the snow flurries flying I will be wishing for February weather.

I have heard theoretical physicists claim if they can reconcile the theory of relatively and quantum theory they will have the answer to everything. Well, if that is accomplished I want to see them use that information for a dead on accurate winter forecast for the southeast. Kind of looking cold and potential for frozen precip in NC the 2nd week in Feb to me per the GFS run I just looked at. But I guess I didn't see what I saw.

Don't worry, the mountain folks will get their snow in April

Wolf Ridge is already shut down; however, didn't think it would be for the season...

Warm in this neck of the woods seems like the front door to the gulf has been left open and endless rain. Warm and wet or cold and dry appear to be the two options.

You gotta make that epic drive to Roxboro on the far side of the magic snow line.

SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.1N 77.2W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM E OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SW OF MOREHEAD CITY NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...954 MB...28.17 INCHES

I have family in Raleigh and not totally out of the woods here. I want no part of a hurricane and am not happy at all about the current track. Given how grim some models are I will post the NHC key message on uncertainty and still hope for the best but of course folks need to be prepared for the worst: The risk of other direct impacts associated with Florence along the U.S. East Coast next week has increased. However, there is still very large uncertainty in model forecasts of Florence's track beyond day 5, making it too soon to determine the exact location, magnitude, and timing of these impacts.

Somebody forget to deactivate the snow shield again

It may be January but failure of the season is already awarded to RAH for their holy moly snow fail.

Clipper bate

For you Pack fans; maybe the snow hole is a sign the Pack will be able to put the ball in the hole tonight and beat Notre Dame or maybe there is the same chance of that happening as snow in Raleigh; IDK. GO PACK!

The hole looked to be shrinking on the radar loop I just looked at; hope you get something.

I grew up in Raleigh; used to snow back then. Man, that snow hole is a sight to behold; my condolences to all the snow lovers in the Triangle area.

and Bucs take down New Orleans to add additional fail to the Panthers outing tonight.

Being a little hard on Gott there; the epic snow in Raleigh got them off their game; the Pack will avenge this loss on Feb 15.