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Moonhowl

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Everything posted by Moonhowl

  1. Moonhowl
    The bears were roaming around my neighborhood the other day as well. I have seen them out in January before but don't remember how winter panned out after that.
  2. Moonhowl
    Well,there is always March and April when the teleconnections do their seemingly annual shift to a cold pattern
  3. Moonhowl
    Well, your chances of snow in Durham are about the same as Florida. The good news it is an easy drive to Roxboro
  4. Moonhowl
    Sugar Mtn was looking kind of pathetic yesterday afternoon on the webcams and had one slope open. Back open to the top now; I'll be hitting (hopefully not too literally) the slopes later this week for the second time this season.
  5. Moonhowl
    They were shutting gates on the Parkway around Asheville this afternoon. Almost ran straight into one on my bicycle.
  6. Moonhowl
    Have a dusting of snow here in town; minor coating on the deck but roads appear fine.
  7. Moonhowl
    Update; Sugar Mountain is open today; wax'm up
  8. Moonhowl
    IIRC, fall color in 1993 was outstanding; that has been a few minutes. I have not seen one as good since.
  9. Moonhowl
    Was on the Parkway up to Mt. Mitchell yesterday; there was some splashes of color here and there; colors seemed to suggest that it will not be a brown out this year, we will see...
  10. Moonhowl
    Nothing like kicking off the fall and winter thread with a heatwave but yes, thinking about snow is a pleasant diversion from the heat. Hoping for our third consecutive year with a December snow storm and enough cold air this winter for the ski resorts to stay in business.
  11. Moonhowl
    Can't believe KAVL hit 91 F on 9-9-19. IIRC Jason Boyer said that beat the maximum high temp for the months of June and August this summer.
  12. Moonhowl
    Well, pressure at Frying Pan right now is 839 mb. Frying Pan Knob that is.
  13. Moonhowl
    NHC discussion of the intensity: Dorian could maintain this intensity for about 12 hours or so, but guidance is showing shear increasing, and that should result in gradual weakening. The intensity forecast is basically the same as the previous advisory, keeping Dorian at the border of category 2 or 3 intensity as it moves near the southeast coast of the United States. This forecast is consistent with the intensity models, which unanimously gradually weaken the cyclone.
  14. Moonhowl
    Good luck, sending big miss vibes your way. At least we can be confident it isn't going to be hanging around very long.
  15. Moonhowl
    No doubt it is stressing me out; I have family in Wilmington, NC and Raleigh, NC although not as worried about Raleigh.
  16. Moonhowl
    Not going to bother to count but for Dorian, I wonder how many individual model runs posted are on the left side of the NHC cone of uncertainty vs. the right side...
  17. Moonhowl
    Well, to keep it real, the last place in the world to come for an objective view of the true probability of landfall is a weather message board; I suppose it serves the purpose of compiling in one place all the worst case scenarios which certainly aren't beyond the realm of possibility.
  18. Moonhowl
    From the 5 PM NHC discussion: The eye has been shrinking, and an eyewall replacement cycle is possibly occurring. The effect of the island terrain and the eyewall replacement cycle should result in some slight fluctuations in intensity during the next 24 to 36 hours, but the hurricane will continue to be extremely dangerous one during that time.
  19. Moonhowl
    Wow, grim to say the least; hopefully, this means eyewall replacement very soon.
  20. Moonhowl
    It would be nice if it stayed to the right side of the cone and that re-curve showing up on the GFS sends it back out to sea before landfall; as you said what an enormous difference +- 75 miles could make...
  21. Moonhowl
    Looking forward to the weather than next few days, sunshine with a hint of fall. The radar this morning has the NWFS look at the TN border counties
  22. Moonhowl
    So much for breaking up the silence, the only thing I project is more activity when snow is showing up on the short range models. Until then, enjoy the rest of the Summer, Fall...maybe anther late Fall snow this year, we will see.
  23. Moonhowl
    I may be in the minority here but I love summer; now if I lived in the Piedmont probably not so much.
  24. Moonhowl
    Turned out my basement was flooding about the time I was posting the frowny face about your house flooding. Ended up with about 5.3" IMBY. Still made it out to take a few pictures of the $850,000 soccer field project:
  25. Moonhowl
    Now 4 inches of water dumped IMBY and still pouring. More inches of rain than I had snow for the December 18 storm. City of Asheville was in the middle of spending big bucks on soccer fields that I am sure are or will be under water yet again: https://wlos.com/news/local/asheville-city-to-pay-875k-to-help-repair-soccer-complex-at-azalea-park I plan to get out a take some photos once this lets up.
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