Harry Perry

Late to the party but over-performed here with 5.5”. Couldn’t believe the rates this morning. Quite a few accidents too. This one snuck up on a lot of people.

These clipper not clippers don’t like Lake Michigan for some reason.

Rip city. Let’s enjoy this.

Has been slow to accumulate over here, finally up to an inch. Might be an under-performer. Will see if rates make up for it as we go through the evening.

We about to be rockin’

Very fine pixie dust coming down, just enough for black ice on many rural roads. Started around 11:30, have a compacted half inch or so. Should be picking up here soon.

0z NAM is doing NAM things… drying out quite a bit in some of the expected higher-end areas in eastern Iowa/western Illinois. DVN goes from over a foot down to 9” this run.

For real. I’d like to think the overnight shift would come in and hoist a warning for their entire area with the exception of maybe Huron, Tuscola and Sanilac counties. EDIT: Actually after checking over that way, nah.. warning area wide would be wise. 6-8” all the way up to Port Austin.

Ensembles have been juiced and most of the short range guidance (18z) is increasing qpf as well. Also trending better for the eastern side of the state.

Must be contagious. First it was GRR for several years, now DTX too. I agree with you 100%. Second busiest holiday travel day in conjunction with 5-8” of snow and 30+ mph winds… just issue the warning. For many it’s the difference between waiting a day or two and just hunkering down vs. in the ditch with a wrecked vehicle or worse. Who cares if the amount of snow doesn’t specifically meet “warning” criteria, it’s irrelevant when it comes to life & safety IMO.

I did read somewhere in one of the previous AFD’s that ratios would be as high as 16-17:1 which would be pretty impressive by November standards.

Ironically enough I was going to mention this myself as well. Definitely some similarities.

Winter storm watch for the entire GRR CWA. Local P&C showing 8” and still snowing by Sunday. Looks like gusty winds in the 30-40 mph range, so blizzard conditions at times. Still some time for the rug to get yanked but I feel pretty confident in a solid 6-10”+ throughout the sub.