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wasnow215

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Everything posted by wasnow215

  1. This is where all of our "Ya wanna know the weather I'll tell you... just get up out of bed and look out the window. Whatever is going on outside that's what it is.", people, make fun of our weather hobby lol.
  2. It's beyond ridiculous the differences. Tomlinson had to go in Pittsburgh even though he was a staple there. GFS has to go too.
  3. If anybody didn't believe it then they haven't been paying attention to the difference in the modeling the last couple years. GFS is getting worse year to year, European is at least staying the same
  4. I've kind of lost respect for ensembles a little bit. Basically they just mirror the regular model runs just more spread out
  5. You never know and because you're on the coast if it sets up just a tiny bit south you're going to get blizzard conditions for sure. No matter how much snow falls
  6. I know how amazing it would be but I don't even agree with this to be honest with you. It has been so so bad even if we get half the snow it's showing and it's more than the other models, it's more of a "blind squirrel" thing to me at this point. A trend is more than one lol.
  7. GFS has been absolutely horrible for a couple years. But man it sure has been consistent with this I expected it to fold today and it probably still will but it's an absolute nuke for everybody including us at 12 Z
  8. It started last year especially. Every time it showed something it would end up mirroring the European model even when the European model would go back-and-forth... it always took about two cycles but it would always end up mirroring it. It's just terrible the GFS -nobody can convince me otherwise at this point. And yes I do think the Canadian model is better at this point and the Ukie
  9. Some of the upper atmosphere stuff of the other models including the euro are starting to come around probably not to that extreme but maybe it'll be something in between.
  10. That seems like a very reasonable answer and thank you! So would you say it would be smart more to lean more on those "big 3" 5 to 7 days out of any event or other reasons people would look at medium range forecasts like travel, vacations, etc? Also do you think the GEM n Ukie should be given more credence than the GFS in the same time frame?
  11. What does it say though that most of the models aren't that great? Pretty much no one knows much until 48 hours out
  12. As a met-what is your professional opinion about how the model of life the GFS can continue to be mocked as being so bad-which it has been-but continue to be a tool used by the NWS?
  13. I heard Southwest Airlines flew into the system and took readings and samples and all. Now all the models feel free to roam about the country!!
  14. It did run lol-it must've been bad because we keep showing the AI models which I remind people AI had Shawshank Redemption 2 coming out. Lol
  15. Without getting any lectures about how I'm wrong then why does the GFS even exist? It always ends up following the EURO
  16. Only see AI map for Euro-what did the real euro show for snow? Any map?
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