wasnow215
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Everything posted by wasnow215
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Yeah. King Euro pretty much stands alone at this point. Ensembles out yet?
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Crazy run. Lots of model runs left tho
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True! AND solution will change at least a couple more times before final solution 6 hours out
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GFS suppressed still. Nothing in Va. FV3 (2019 GFS replacement) a good hit for Southern Va. and 3-6” makes it into RVA. Euro starts soon.
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12/3 0z Euro RVA love! Shoot cut those numbers in half and it’s still a great early Dec hit!
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Nothing in 12z runs hurt RVA that’s for sure. Still looking snowy.
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It’s going to be significant. Just matters where frozen/not frozen line sets up.
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Daggone GFS-The progression of the 0z run was interesting. Decent rates as low “ramps up”. Surprising actually. Still fighting climo. I mean it will be April 7th smh.
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If it starts in earnest after sun goes down Sat...
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I’m here and I’m in!
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2016? Was that year 20 total?
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Above seasonal avg. We’ve had some nice events.
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Compacted now after the heavier snowfall ended around 2 here but this was a good event overall for Glen Allen. Happy second day of spring!! Haha
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An inch here now. 31°- continued ligot to moderate snow.
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But it is a convective model so I get it. Love this stuff man!
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And here is same hour (hour one for this shot) on 11z
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Here’s my point about the HRRR at least with snow outside of four hours. Here is HRRR 7z five hours out for surface precip.
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Yes I like it for severe you’re correct.
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Light to moderate snow here in Glen Allen. Love it! Maybe not better rates than last time, but started earlier this time which will help.
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It’s ok -but we were talking about Euro yesterday and I posted “snow depth”. I was asking what Euro Kuchera was showing for snow totals at 12z specifically. IMO HRRR is NOT a reliable model outside of four hours btw.
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Was 33 here when I pulled car in garage (only do that when there are PENDING snow events lol). NAM dry but GFS nice again at 0z
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18z GFS Kuchera
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It’s the only one I have from the European model… But each run it has trended more snow here since two days ago. I got that from the snow depth model on Weather US. What is Kuchera from 12Z?
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I don’t know how much of this is snow compared to sleet etc. but the euro model keeps trending south.
