wasnow215
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Everything posted by wasnow215
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Thanks. Not good
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Stinks. Preparing for power outages. If anyone has good ice accumulation products let me no plz. From the models I mean. And no power during Eagles game!!! Noooooooo! Lol
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I think an ice storm is very possible. Anyone have the ice numbers from latest NAM? Cuz 10:1 latest NAM is high but it ain’t snow!
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That was my concern completely when I saw the NAM precip! Ugh. Anyone have a good ice acumulation map? Or can point me to a product?
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I Not a cold rain in RVA. Maybe south. Freezing rain is a concern though. Need Kuchera NAM map.
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Kuchera poss?
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Well FWIW up there the NAM did NAM things on 12/9/18 down here in RVA. And nailed it!
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So I guess you’re not a big fan of the DT first call?
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I have no issue with what they’re doing so far with this storm AKQ. I don’t know the reason but December 9th was botched. There was lots of good guidance showing double digit snowfall totals, inside of 48 hours. Never pulled the trigger. Thankfully it was on a Sunday. On a workday it would have been a disaster on the roadways, with unprepared motorists.
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What are you referring to? There are watches up.
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There is a huge difference between sleet and an all out ice storm. Does anyone have any good ice accumulation model information? Trying to pass these concerns over to work leaders.
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Yeah interesting. I live near you I think. Montpellier exit off of 295, staples mill rd
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So this “snow depth” on the 12z 1/11 euro could also include ice?
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On Euro??
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Oz Euro was north. Not the 12z that just came in
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What did 18z euro show for RVA? I don’t have it.
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Ty! Almost seems like two parts right?
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It looks like the timing is a little later-well after dark on Saturday or even Sunday morning. Yes?
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12z 1/10/19 Euro “snow depth change”.
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In order: Gfs, FV3, Canadian. All 10:1
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Yes. Gfs is the weakest. Only a couple inches at 12z. FV3 4-6”, and OH Canada!! Double digits or close. At 10:1 anyway.
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True! Better than ignoring the possibilities like they did heading into December 9. Not just NBC but many.
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I think it’s because there hasn’t been a lot of changes since we talked yesterday. The euro has been the most consistent but it seems like every run it takes off a little bit more QPF. Last time the FV3 did really well and it’s pretty weak. GFS is good but it busted 12/9. CMC also. I agree with how you see it.
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Why has the FV3 been running so slow last few days? Govt shutdown?
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Euro has been consistent and was also for 12/9 but not til 72 hours out for that one. FV3 and then the short range models handled 12/9 well also. Once short range came into range.
