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wasnow215

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Everything posted by wasnow215

  1. So far nothing. Rain. There was a STW to the west (Oilville, Powhatan) but it had expired.
  2. Looks like the day one enhanced remained largely unchanged from yesterday’s day 2? And can someone post the tornado prob map from SPC plz? Day 1 today.
  3. I thought the same thing. Was waiting for a met to say it. I mean a huge step back, but the 12k did not take a huge step back.
  4. Straight line wind gusts are still pretty potent 3k Nam.
  5. 3k Nam showing the higher capes almost vanish. Significantly lower.
  6. Agreed. Even the straight line winds pretty impressive.
  7. Would love to here from some professionals specifically talk about RVA. Just following SPC stuff right now and all the really good folks on the DC severe thread.
  8. Where ya at Richmond peeps?? Haha. Somethin big seems to be brewin.
  9. 1-3” for RVA. least NW areas. Most SE areas. Possible 4” snow lolli.
  10. Gfs is dry. 0z Euro has a bit more now. But less than an inch total.
  11. For this winter it’s more than the cusp lol. The 0z NAM is like 12/9/18. Just that model tho.
  12. Actually 18z has something. Which is better than the nothing we’ve had all winter so far lol.
  13. Am I the only one paying attention to this severe wx threat late tonight?
  14. Any thoughts on tomorrow night’s/overnight into Monday severe threat?
  15. Any thoughts on severe for tonight in RVA by anyone?
  16. Expect WWA’s to be posted late tomorrow in RVA, with an outside chance of a WSW (watch) because of poss freezing rain on top of a couple of inches of snow Wed morning. Today’s model runs will help NWS decide. No matter what, Wed morning commute is going to be rough, until the CAD is eventually scoured out of the region, later that afternoon.
  17. Heavy wet snow here at my job in Mechanicsville. Big giant flakes, maybe the biggest I’ve ever seen.
  18. Could be a nice tracking week leading up to next weekend. GFS and FV3 showing SECS for our region. I’ll be hitting the links on Tue as it will be close to 70° here, and then focus in more on tracking that evening lol.
  19. 45° here in Glen Allen. Forecasted high was 49°
  20. Like I said earlier, it’s GFS n FV3 against the rest lol. I will say I’ve never known the 3k NAM handle these types of scenarios well. Consistently too warm. Euro was kinda weak also tho. I’m riding the FV3!! Lol #weeniealert
  21. Short term models are very warm so interesting to see how this plays out for tomorrow evening AND what 12z Euro looks like. CMC warm also. Haven’t looked at Fri much. Will do so later on.
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