wasnow215
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Everything posted by wasnow215
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Gfs a nasty ice storm Thursday night so far
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0z RGEM
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I saw that. Ty. Also saw someone say that the Icon looked like the European model but it looked nothing like it at all LOL
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Does anyone have RGEM? It’s stuck on 24 hours on Tropical Tidbits.
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Can someone show ice accumulation for Central, Va from this 0z Nam run plz?
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NAM at this range rarely does.
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NAM north. Not in range until at least 0z tomorrow anyway, but has the ingredients.
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As depicted with the euro at 12 Z it was a half an inch of ice starting very late Wednesday or early Thursday, and ending up as 5 to 10 inches of snow from south east to Northwest in the Richmond metro area. One reason I think it’s possible is because we are so close to the event it’s not like it’s 7-8 days out.
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18z GFS cuts big time part 2. I don’t buy it. Onto 18z Euro n 0z runs.
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Agreed but besides the wording this time he simply attached today’s 12z Euro.
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Ummmmm no mention of the 12z Euro? Everyone okay? Lol
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In my early days of this hobby would actually put stock in that silliness haha. One thing real interesting is seems like temps won’t be an issue especially late Thursday into Friday.
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Was just gonna post about it. Looks like by looking at 850’s and then surface temps, this thing starts late WEDNESDAY as light ice and then 4-6” of snow by noon Friday. Most of the snow falling overnight Thursday into Friday morning. Again by 12z Euro only I’m talking.
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And GFS says “I’ll double your ice storm” Sat into Sun
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The morning commute tomorrow could be a problem with low temperatures in the low 20s overnight tonight.
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At least an inch here now
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I’m glad you have radar because I don’t think any of us on here do lol.
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Same- heavy wet snow in Glen Allen. 32°
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Bust
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Manson, North Carolina is showing 39° on their current weather temperature as far as forecasted hour by hour. It is 32° there now currently.
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We obviously are concerned about temperatures and should be. But a few interesting notes regarding what’s happening in places that weren’t supposed to get frozen precip. Here’s one from the triad in North Carolina. Notice it says they are “expanding the winter weather advisory”.
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Interesting trends on the short term models. It wasn’t until recently that we were seeing the models show rain to snow to rain back to snow again. Nam is showing that and so is the HRRR. And they hang onto the snow a little longer. Could help.
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Weather bug is still working.
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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
wasnow215 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not completely. Still right around 0° next Monday morning 2-15 with windchills well below that.
