wasnow215
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Everything posted by wasnow215
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So someone who is better at this the dry slot that looks like it’s happening just to our northwest- is that going to stay northwest you think?
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What a beautiful event so far!! Let’s go!!
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Temps down also. Hope the 850’s hold for as long as possible.
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It’s 34° right now where I live in Glen Allen. Temperatures are definitely going to be an issue with any precipitation. I think we’re looking at a sleet fest maybe, before it changes to all rain.
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18z GFS had more snow before any changeover than DC total! Lol ironic if it worked out that way.
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I know it’s a little late for weather models like the GFS but for what it’s worth it seems a little better at 18Z than 12Z.
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0z 3k NAM isn’t bad
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I got your back over there.
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12/9/18 let’s go!!
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Here it is. Storm sets up just a tad more southeast and it’s beyond game on. But yeah 6-8” is excellent.
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Sleet mix possibly?
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NAM that’s nice!! (18z)
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It’s a solid hit again tho before that for RVA. I’m hoping for 4-6” then dry slot instead of rain. Then maybe a little retrograde snow at the end.
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Canadian was “Euro-esque”. Much better than the GFS.
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Thank you! Imo from reading all the different met comments, PSU etc, seems like GFS solution isn’t picking up on the CAD well.
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Please correct me if I’m wrong, but it seems like more of the other models support the Euro, and GFS has little support from the other models at this point.
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Look at hour 78 compared with 84 from 18z. It’s a step. Again it’s SO different than the other models. Something has to give and I have a hard time believing it’s going to be all the other ones.
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38° here in Glen Allen. Plenty cold soon enough.
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Agreed but again it’s been bad the whole time. Is there a GFS run the last 6 runs that has shown good snow for RVA for Sun/Mon? But yes would want to see it come aboard fairly soon.
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You mean for Sun/Mon. It’s not bad for overnight tonight and it’s been bad pretty much the whole time for Sun/Mon. Again GFS vs Euro at 96-120 hours? I wouldn’t bet against Euro. I think the GFS is missing something but we will know soon enough huh?
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I think the chances of good snow are about 50% right now for Sun into Tue. I don’t think it’s fair to rule out euro because GFS is showing warmer temperatures.
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January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
wasnow215 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Trended slightly south. It will line up with the King soon enough. -
1.4” book it. Lol
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And still snowing...
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GFS was decent though.
