SR Airglow

Flakes in Boston!

Flurries in the Back Bay.

I’ll be at Clarke’s 12/21 or 12/23 at 7 PM if you are. Anyone else in?

12/21 or 12/23 please, never made one of these in my 5 years in Boston since I’m always traveling and am again this year but I’ll be back by then and would love to finally meet some folks in person. First weekend in December would work well too.

Took a two hour ski tour around the hill during the height of the banding (5:30 - 7:30 ish) and that redeemed a lot of the negatives about this event. Not sure what the final was here since I didn't keep any measurements but likely a respectable amount in the end - 15" ish?

Yeah we're doing much better now - not pounding yet but solid improvement in flake size and fluff factor. Heading up to the top of the hill to attempt to build a ski jump shortly since driving to wawa is probably a no go right now.

Finally starting to pick up here - let's make this band count!

Embrace the bust.

Looks like the ocean band is dying. Congrats IJD-ORH-MHT on this storm it looks like.

Better than flurries which is what we've got right now. Not sure why I'm surprised that ORH stole our snow - seems to happen in every banded event

Solid flizzard here. Not calling bust yet but this band better deliver.

Yeah still pretty meh here on Mission Hill - had a quick period of good stuff but now the goods are to our west as opposed to our east.

Been stuck in subsidence the last hour or so - down to very light small flakes right now. Heavier echoes keep dying just SE of the city.

Just got up and it's absolutely ripping giant fluffy pillows! Wow!

SCW ‏@SouthernCTWX 2m 2 minutes ago @NWSBoston Unofficial because no snowboard and it's quite drifted but estimating 8" at NEU from an average of measure's, hope still helpful.

Euro caves to the GFS, not as dry, but a massive cave. Biggest bust I've ever seen from it. Unthinkable a few years ago that the euro would do that. Upton cut totals, they had no choice.

Looking at radar, I can't buy the RGEM or GFS. I'd probably go 8-14 for NYC right now. Still an awesome storm, but a big bust from earlier calls. This is what we did for CT, I think some of the far northwestern areas might be closer to 8 than 12 but to make a third zone on the map is a PITA so we just left it plus Norfolk always seems to get stupid totals. And oh yeah, it's absolutely nuking heavy snow right now. Easily 2"+ per hour.

.33 since 1 PM, .02 before 1 PM.

My thoughts. Look at the initialization of the 18z suite/hour 3 and compare it to current conditions at H5. The only model that was remotely close to being correct was the NAM, the RGEM and GFS were way too far east with the setup. Look at the obs coming out of NYC already. The park is reporting 4.5" already and there are reasonably widespread 3-5" totals in the area. The GFS/RGEM, which have 5-10 total, are already close to busting(RGEM especially which had less than .6" liquid and nyc has .37, do you really think they only see .23" more) The 21z RAP is well west of the 20z RAP(20 miles or so) and made a decided trend towards letting the convection influence the low less. This matches the NAM. The Euro has been locked into the western track for days. To see it bust would be absolutely monumental, whereas I can believe the GFS being wrong due to it's poor performance and initialization scheme. At this point, my afternoon forecast will be based off the NAM and the EURO and discarding all other models. I'm taking a shot here, hope it works. I have absolutely no confidence, but it's time to make a call, and so I'm making one. Hope luck is on my side.

DIT jumping off the Q bridge after seeing the NAM? He still gets 15", but holy subsidence there. It looks like the I91 corridor or just east is the favorite right now to get that local min, but you never know where the bands form...

I'm expecting 2'+ for BOS at this point.

There's a weenie 42" spot just SW of BOS yes.

Euro is a BOS to Scoot to TAN jackpot it looks like. 3'+

Euro has 1.2" QPF in 6 hours for BOS between 6z and 12z. Jesus.

Euro holds on the position of the low, slightly drier on the western side but still 20"+ for NYC. Jesus christ. At this point, considering what WPC said, it's time to ride it.