JC-CT

Just now, Professional Lurker said:

Yup. I literally just wrote and then deleted the mother of all meltdowns. I had to think better of it. Even if I have no snow, I still have my pride.

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
 

Screw pride, let it rip

Just now, DavisStraight said:

What about this model?

 

12z

1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said:

all of this was due to a busted severe outbreak. the latent heat release that sparked the vort amplification never happened

Quick, everyone outside to fart

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Good thing this forum is about the science

NAM SHOWS A HUGE SNOWSTORM FOR PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ukie is almost a copy....

Rgem compromise maybe

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

You don’t go from 12-18” to dim sun and no snow . It’s too close in. We are 12 hours away from snow starting 

Or not starting 

1 minute ago, Patrick-02540 said:

It jumps 120 miles due east right towards the convection.  

We've seen many storms where convection has messed with the dynamics. It happens.

It's a tough forecast, not envious of that job

1 minute ago, qg_omega said:

Why is the Euro wrong?  All I see in here is weenies chucking insults.  Looks like UKMet which hasn’t changed in days.  

Why take any one particular model as "right"? Does its insistence on a grazing blow indicate a need to take down some of the higher totals, especially around the springfield/orh corridor? Maybe?

1 minute ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

Yeah the jack zone is definitely gonna be north of PVD.

Definitely, eh?

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Been thinking that for a while…but didn’t want to throw a wrench into it.  But I agree. 

Could be some pretty intense banding...somebody gonna smoke some exhaust for a while

It does seem to be narrowing in on a CT-trajectory special

Back to your regularly scheduled worrying about dryslot

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Def a good bump N of 06z through 24h.

Pretty classic look down here

Temps and qpf both a concern, I'm expecting a light drizzle.

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

NAM still a meh banded mess.

It's kinda fun to see the nam so paltry while global is not.

I can taste the subsidence already

The euro and gfs both look like something I'm not sure I've seen before. Just looks weird lol

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

3km NAM… this one feels like a storm for the meso-models.  Tight thermals, rain, sleet, snow.

Part of me wonders if the global models are over extending the amount of snowfall over wide areas.

It's also a clown map problem.

1 hour ago, H2Otown_WX said:

1/13 looks like crap down here but looks good for NNE and even CNE on the Canadian. 1/17 coming in hot on the Euro. Also of note is a massive Arctic outbreak in the Plains/OHV at the end of the run. The CMC is even more extreme bringing single digits well into TX.

If you hump a jma/navgem blend, big big things incoming

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Just a shade over 9 inches back in Holliston…don’t think we’ll quite make 10” unless that band rotates down and rots over us for an hour or two. 
 

 

Nice will, looks similar to here...kind of sticky stuff

@The 4 Seasons8"

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Any thoughts on how many more inches in CT?

It's still quite banded. It's been snowing nicely here but just kind of lucky, it hasn't really congealed.

54 minutes ago, NeonPeon said:

What a rollercoaster it has been.  I've had rain, rain mixed with skeet, rain mixed with snow, and in all different percentages. It's a visual feast, a folk art poem to New England winter. 

So a solid 6 incher, is what you're saying?