JC-CT

For those who get 30" of fluff...just remember it will look like 10" in about 3 days.

 

In about three days, it will be snowing again.

really not necessary though, spiking footballs sucks and rubbing it in worse, talk to me at 1255 AM 

 

What are you kidding, how is that spiking footballs or rubbing it in? They just crashed the board for pete's sake.

Tough to be a NYC weenie right now.

Nice Kevin 40 inch JP, lol

 

Yeah, that made me   a little.

Messenger, the CFI was brought up by WPC repeatedly.

 

I'm not sure I buy it, but that's why it is being honked.

 

That doesn't mean it doesn't suck for this purpose.

It's not about the NAM, its the fact every model other than the euro has gone east since 12z euro ran.

Look at the h5 ridge out west on the GFS. Despite the change in the surface depiction out east, the ridge has gotten sharper each run since 6z...and at 18z it's still not quite as sharp as the Euro was at 12z.

I could bump a thread from the last major closed low where the Euro had me under a blizzard warning up until the bitter end but the low ended up closing out further east like the other models had. Will and I had a great back and forth about it...think it was the last major 'storm' of last winter. It lead the way and was dead consistent...in being too far SW.

Not saying the NAM is specifically right, but I will continue to favor a later capture and any model that portrays that. I may go down swinging on this one but I think the EUro is still too far west. It matters ZERO for most of us anyway...I mean really zero.

I remember that storm, but it sounds like you are saying that it will do the same because the last one did. Not sure that stands to reason.

name the last time the NAM beat the euro before a major east coast event

Which model existed first?

The Euro has been better.

Yeah, that's what I was alluding to lol.

I will lay down a round at the next GTG (after February) if it doesn't cave on this run....finally.

Euro?

I wouldn't be surprised by a slight tick east...but cave to the NAM, I highly doubt.

I don't agree with NAM being onto anything. It can't keep continuity between runs wrt to jet streak tracking, changing from run to run across the last 24 hours of cycles... back and forth. No folks -

the nam has had no continuity whatsoever

it has yet to show the same solution for two consecutive runs

Well geez guys, which model HAS shown continuity then?

Oh wait...

Excellent.

The NAM is flattered you think that of it.

I am actually surprised that BOX has my low total for this storm 21" and the high total noted as 33". It just seems like some very large numbers to throw out there.

edit: earlier in the day the forecast totals were quite a bit lower.

Euro within 48 hours...hard to bet against.

I'm not sure how that helped.

To keep him quiet about it? Probably a little, yes.

Pretty much sums up that one...Worst winter since the 90s for me. Dont know if the 18" octobomb should even count.

E CT didn't get anywhere close to that. We only lost power for a few days. Except Glastonbury...