IWXwx

Oh my, I had forgotten all about that one. Nuclear meltdowns abounded. If I remember right, I ended up with about 3/4 of an inch of rain.

Even better, my current p&c is twice broken down into 1 hour blocks. That's some dandy forecasting, right there! Thursday Night Rain and snow before 3am, then rain between 3am and 4am, then rain and snow after 4am. Low around 32. Friday Night A chance of rain and snow before 10pm, then a chance of rain between 10pm and 11pm, then a chance of snow after 11pm. Anyway, I'll once again be watching this one put accumulations down to my northwest, with moods flakes for us.

The ol' EE rule. Book it.

Kitchen sink combo here with a total of 0.8" between melts. The 2019-20 winter storm trend continues. Final call.

Yeah, the Euro shows it heading due east with the surface low in southern IL transferring to VA. I would imagine that the east coast weenies ears perked up.

Made me look. The GFS and Euro are worlds apart (what else is new?). See you on Wednesday.

Rainer. I learn from the best.

Dumping dendrites

I've seen one post from him this winter, so he does still occasionally check in.

While I'm waiting on the highlight of winter, 2" of snow followed by zr, then rain, rock on fellow Hoosiers! Neil was the man.

You guys are the experts and probably right, but anecdotally at least and as hoosier mentioned earlier, warm air advection usually rules the day.

I was considering posting something about this after perusing the Euro, but didn't want to get flack from the optimists. Although we are approaching a "pattern change", the sensible weather past day 6 doesn't look that much different.

A little off-topic, but while the ORD/Southern MI crew sorts out the thermodynamics for "Winter Storm Jacob" (lol), it's almost a lock that from Friday afternoon through daybreak on Saturday an area through STL, HUF, IND, FWA, and TOL will see the proverbial kitchen sink of precipitation before turning to all rain. However, on the map shown below from TT, their algorithm shows an unbelievable amount of snow in the highlighted area. I realize that it includes sleet and it is caused by taint. I wish Tropical Tidbits would change this. My problem is the social media cowboys who will post this map as a forecast for pure sensationalism. Then it's up to someone in my position to talk to the public and government officials off of the ledge. On a side note, it looks like for the FWA area, it will start as snow shortly after dark (when else?), and we may be able get a quick inch or two before the kitchen sink sets in until daylight.

We are finally going to get some typical January weather. A huge high pressure that just meanders through the subforum for several days delivering bone-chilling cold over a bare ground.

The 06z GFS was showing something similar, but I don't have a clue. EDIT: My bad, that's the 12z

It sucks anyway just due to banking on a barely grass-covering snow that's just gonna get washed away by a cold rain.

Storm Recap/After Action Report

Northeast Indiana checking in. Typical winter weather system for this part of the sub: Sitting at ~2.5 inches of liquid. Waiting with bated breath for my DAB bringing up the rear.

Nailed it. Easy call.

I'm with you there. It might cost someone a few inches of snow, but I don't want to see the 4-6" of rain that some of the models have been puking out. I don't enjoy a quagmire.

Getting some lightning, eh? That line is sliding just southeast of me. I wasn't really expecting any thunder this far north, but am thinking SE IN/SW OH may get some wind out of a T-storm

The NAM is a real treat for our SE MI peeps