TheDreamTraveler

Yeah Isaias honestly has me a bit concerned for the gulf states. I could see this potentially becoming a cat 3 before landfall but weakening should start occurring right before landfall though it's hard to know for certain. Still funny it looked like we were going to go all season without a hurricane and then this thing pops up and finds the perfect environment to form like this. But that's how it goes sometimes even in very quiet hostile seasons. Another thing too is the intensity forecast is still the weakest part of the NHC's expertise. It's funny how many storms I've seen just blast through the intensity they'd originally forecast. Or sometimes they just fall apart when they weren't forecast to. That's why I hate making intensity forecasts lol

Maybe we'll break our hurricane drought with this system

I have to remind myself that we still haven't had a single hurricane form even after we broke the record on September 11th. It's October 2nd now and no hurricanes in sight. Absolutely unbelievable to still be seeing this. We really might get through this entire season without a single cane.

This record breaking super el nino is definitely going to throw a wrench into forecasts I think but I am thinking it'll be AN as well for most of the winter. Still though all it takes is the perfect setup at the right time to completely smash us like what happened in January 2016 following the last super el nino. But I do wonder just how lucky we got with that storm since it basically didn't snow the rest of the winter besides that one storm.

I guess summer has one last hurrah on Thursday/Friday. Then after that we might have a night that gets into the 30's on Tuesday

8 named storms looks good on paper until you look at how abysmal the ACE is

I guess all the energy absent from the Atlantic has to go somewhere https://x.com/JaydonShawwx/status/2103657217673384075

Here's a great post from the Atlantic Hurricane Season thread about the current nor'easter. Post is 19 hours old now but still. Oh another thing too the center of the storm had convection firing around the center and some lightning earlier. Very interesting.

Stole this from the NYC thread but figured some might appreciate it here

This nor'easter sure is looking just a little tad subtropical imo

It's so weird how strong this noreaster is for September. It's so windy out it feels like it's another month and not September. I was also reading that the record breaking super el nino is slightly related to why we got a noreaster this strong this early in the season which is interesting but not surprising.

The CPAC gets a separate name list and *normally* strong hurricanes do not effect Hawaii or any land in that part of the ocean. I guess it's just a very bad coincidence we had a year where both lists had 2 similar names that just so happened to occur at the same exact time and also effect two landmasses at the same time as well

That's wild how much colder it got there than here even though I'm practically down the road from you lol. In Enola it got to 48.

How low can he go?

Looks like NHC keeps this just below hurricane status