Heisy

Surprised no one mentioned the 18z GFS snows on us like 6 different times. It probably won't happen but the Stratosphere warming occurring now is going to create some more neutral conditions toward the end of the month to possibly keep us cooler. 

What 

Here is the gfs vs euro

The euro has trended towards a stronger wave like GFS, but it hasn’t moved with the N/S




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But the ridge, N/S and confluence out ahead isn’t changing so it’s still a no go


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These are steps towards gfs




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Significant changes on the euro with the wave out west so far


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Every year the gfs has events like this where it stands alone. It’s always wrong except for Boxing Day but that was 48 hours out

Give it another run or 2 and it’ll be purged of whatever bad data the 12z run digested


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18z gfs not backing off


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I found support! The JMA baby!

Looks just like the GFS ha





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Everything says a legit SSW event starting 3/11. Chilly end of March into April as a result is a good bet and just maybe an anomalous late season snow somewhere in the east.

so weve already moved past this weekend to the 15th?

HM on our discord doesn’t think we’re down for the year.

Check out 12z euro




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While it’s probably the Northern stream which we need changes with, this is a pretty substantial change with the wave out west thru 72 hours.




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12z Ukie looks close


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Wow gefs 

No other model is even remotely close to the op GFS and I’m willing to bet my paycheck that the 12z GEFS looks nothing like that either

CMC actually looks better earlier on. More similarities towards gfs let’s see if it does anything


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CMC actually looks better earlier on. More similarities towards gfs let’s see if it does anything


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Selling this until 1 other model is even remotely close




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lol it’s too amped, what’s it doing silly poor thing




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Would be funny if it pulled off a win for the last event of year, but we know how likely that is


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12z gfs going to give us a weenie run. One last fake out before spring?


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