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nycwinter

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Posts posted by nycwinter

    August 2023

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    2 hours ago, CIK62 said:

    The next 8 days are averaging  83degs.(74/92) or +7.

    Reached 91 here yesterday at 6pm.

    Today:   81-85, wind e. to s., m. cloudy, Rain by 7pm., 73 tomorrow AM.

    74*(74%RH) at 7am{was 73 earlier}.

    GFS with no rains and a colossal HW to look forward to.

    1691798400-XksaoMTewWQ.png

    OR DO YOU PREFER:

    1691820000-CzeOnsJWuIY.png

    why you keep posting this gfs garbage you know these temps will never happen.

    • Like 6
    • Haha 2

    July 2023

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

    These 1991-2020 normals aren't doing us any favors in showing the reality of climate change. I see so many comments here and on X implying it hasn't been a hot summer. 

    Here is an example:

    Here is an example from the NWS, providing "perspective" on the heat:

     

    The implication of maps like these is that it's been a fairly normal summer with warm anomalies and cool anomalies roughly evening out. The reality is the map posted in the thread I linked to above shows a departure for June and July of +0.45F above the 1991-2020 mean. Obviously, these are unofficial values. 

    If NCEI has the same departure, this would be the 20th warmest June & July period on record (out of 129 years). If we exclude 21st century data, and limit this to the 1895-2000 period (106 years), there are only seven hotter years - 1936, 1934, 1933, 1931, 1988, 1921, and 1952. So four dust bowl years, one of the worst droughts on record, and a couple of notoriously hot summers (including one during the 1950s drought period).

    image.thumb.png.7496bf2ce72b562be04dd199d1f2083e.png

    We're running hotter nationally than notoriously hot years like 1995, 1991, 1999, 1983, 1953, 1954, etc... Heat was a front page item in these years. Why do people think there's too much coverage of the heat? Make no mistake about it, before the advent of widespread artificial cooling, there would be thousands of deaths in years like this.

    If the NWS outlook for August verifies (which is showing warmer than average temperatures across probably 80% of the CONUS), I think we will be looking at a top 10, or certainly top 15, hottest summer on record nationally. Might even be top 5 if you exclude years in the 21st century.

    you use to have hundreds of deaths in the south every summer before ac became widespread

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