frostfern

Garden variety precursor showers already had a ton of lightning. Ready 2 get rocked by the main line in the next hour.

That’s a rain wrapped monster.

Bloomington WI cell needs a tor warning now.

Well, Madison just got walloped. Nasty wind driven hail and possible tornado. Waiting to hear from anyone there.

Madison cell is now wrapping up too. Expect a tor warning soon. Mean looking hail filled RFD. Looks damaging. Edit: Now a cc drop and tornado warning. Could be damaging RFD winds also lofting debris.

The one immediately behind it now seems to be gearing up to produce.

Too bad it’s so far from the radar. Can’t really see to the surface. Any chasers on this one?

Independence cell is now tornado warned.

The biggest threat at the moment seems to be very large hail. Low level shear needs to increase to get more tornadoes.

That Iowa cell already looks like its producing massive hail.

Looks like another miss northwest stank for me tonight.

Won’t even get much thunder here. Just smallish showers. Instability is always trash with deep SW flow in this area. Zonal 500 mb flow delivers more instability, even at night. You don’t need deep CAPE for tornadoes with extreme shear, but I’d rather have a good light show than a low-topped severe event.

Mini-supercells are sneaky. Frankly un-chaseable though.

Low topped event. Shallow CAPE.

Hope the Michigan sloppy seconds pans out better than last time for me. Got screwed with the north and south split.