weathafella

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Gfs most steadfast imo 

Looks like it juiced up a bit this run?  Memory-I haven’t actually compared.

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I don't use the GEM or ICON so that was not in my consideration.

You mean you don’t spend an hour every day digging through the ICON EPS?

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Kind of a big cut back for coastal plain.

Depends on which plain.  A big improvement for pike region coastal areas in MA.

Damn what a crushing on the euro!  And cold too!

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

It’s definitely after daybreak. Probably mid morning.

The later the better in my view.  I don't like getting up much before 10 but I can tolerate 9ish.

Amongst the globals, it’s GFS/Euro vs CMC/uncle.

Right about now a little messenger shuffle wouldn’t hurt for some of us.

Happy Birthday ginxy!

CMC is most likely otl or it is about to school every piece of guidance.

Midlevels really look conducive to a big number somewhere between Kevin and Ray 

Euro H7 closed low goes over LI through the outer cape.  Could be some fun up around NH/MA border.

Pretty steady with little wobbles here and there.  Euro seems a tad colder vs gfs tonight.

6 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

it'll be fine

Especially if you work from home.

Snow day Tuesday.  I’m excited legitimately for the first time this winter.

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Much better MLs and beefier precip. It's getting there.

Beefier precipitation?  But nonetheless uncle is better when he downs 1 or 2 at lunch.

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nobody ridiculed you though. We simply discuss and hedge. 

Maybe ridiculed is too strong but I was told no way-not that far north!

H7 goes right over NYC skirting south coast of new england.

6-12 for most of sne into cne with a potential dendrite jack.  I was ridiculed for suggesting a dendrite jack last night but it certainly is on the table today.

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Let's get the ball rolling. Fun times ahead.  Let me tickle your Kuchie 

Perfect!  Treadmill comes Monday so I can root for snow again.

The Euro came about 50 miles south.  Still decent up to the pike and certainly not the mess that CMC and UKMET are.  Low end warning event for MA with 4-6 near the NH border, 6-8 near the Pike,  8-10 for a lot of CT.  With the 850 closed low passing close enough we could see a few hours of pretty heavy snow further north .

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

Not with that confluence up north. This either produces further south or ends up getting shredded completely. 

You presume that the confluence holds.  It may but it hasn't this year in this lead time.

I hate to. put emphasis on any ICON output but I would love to. see the Euro match that tonight.

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Dendrite ? No way this is coming way north like that.

Just wait and see.  He’s 60 miles north of BOS.  

I thought with the trof going negative it and confluence moving east it would come further north.  I honestly think this is a Dendrite event.

Gets to just south of NYC as far as slamming snow but moderate snow up through CT/RI/southern MA.