weathafella

I just remember all these systems slipping SE but making a correction at the last minute.  Maybe I’m misremembering…

I had to return a sweater I bought for someone today.  The lady asked if I was prepared for the big storm-she sounded weenieish.  I told her not to count on it and she started to argue with me.  I just told her to try to remember who told her first.  She said well you remember me when it happens!

Just now, NoCORH4L said:

Messenger shuffle, but backwards? 

Actually the messenger shuffle typically ends with a few ticks back north at the last minute.

While it certainly doesn’t feel it the sky has the snow look fwiw.

1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said:

I think we will see a north movement from now to go time.  How much, we will see?

I agree actually.  Since my daughter’s SO is a Boston teacher he’s off tomorrow.  At the very least I want him to come over and help with snow removal!

I can’t help but find this whole psychodrama dark comedy.  Keep it coming!

It’s kind of funny to watch though.  Ratters rat start to finish it seems.

NYC cancels for white rain.

Euro basically gives a non dynamic pos.  Warm temps well into NNE.

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I think it will take most of the morning to dip below 32 even for you. Get ready for paste.

May get to see truly what the Ariens is made of…lol.

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Definitely an outage risk if it pounds at 33F with increasing winds. 

Yeah I'm hoping to be AOB 30 but initially it will be mondo paste.

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Navy model

https://youtu.be/nmGuy0jievs?si=3zc3M-5CYhGCRZGh

Classic weather breeder today.

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Ha!   I know you guys don't normally look at the FOUS ( it's an old habit of mine ...) but my god at the QPF at Logan comparing prior runs.

since 12z yesterday's NAM ...every mode cycle only put out 2 intervals of QPF/liq equiv, and the numbers are always .5"-ish then .3"-ish  ... totally ~ .8".  It just was not changing for that location.

12z just now?         .27"  +    1.04"  +   .22"       hahaha    my goodness

Also cools the boundary layer for a big time snow thump by 12Z tomorrow.

OUTPUT FROM NAM 12Z FEB 12 24
TTPTTR1R2R3 VVVLI PSDDFF HHT1T3T5
BOS//732918 00015 133310 37000098
06000622928 -2115 112702 38039898
12000644233 00417 112802 39049898
18000736624 -1015 080410 40029698
24027989153 09317 020621 41009696
30104978929 04420 950228 34009592
36022824610 -2016 023115 25009587
42000594310 -1217 063016 20999488
48000766206 03312 072717 18989487
54000513207 -3314 103021 14999285
60000503308 00216 132921 15969086

12k:

Regardless of the qpf output, H7 on the Euro skirts along the southern new england coast which argues a much better system into NH despite what the qpf maps say.  In fact the mid level centers have me feeling pretty good here in the pike region.

Ironically the gfs has been pretty stable with small changes following trends.

Today was the messenger shuffle day.  Tomorrow likely will feature a tick or 2 back north.  Not much difference either way from my perspective.

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

on way back to mass......on my phone so all I can hear is things are south, precip south,  south coast and CT getting slammed......sounds like a SOP.

 

Hoping that's not what it is.  For my sake that is.

You’re in great shape in westborough!

5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

If the gfs shifts south and sucks again on amounts I’ll really be bummed.

Presuming you’re in pit2?

Safe to say toss the 12k

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Yea I haven't used 12k for a while. Sorry thought you were referring to 3K cuz that's nutz here

3k annihilates most of MA late morning into the afternoon Tuesday.

Yeah 3k is a big time crusher.

Yeah actually snows pretty good Tuesday afternoon but it's not 8-12 job....lol.