weathafella

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'll take it.

How about our crazy uncle?

25 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Canadian isn’t kind to most of SNE

By this year's standards-kind enough!

1 hour ago, qg_omega said:

GFS taking the lead here, she’s gone

And GFS says at 12z don’t you touch me ever again after making that accusation!

10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

A suboptimal 105" instead of an optimal 120" in 2015 

Such is life when you have a high end (for same) climo.

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

...says the one dude who has yet to regress Hopefully that bad has been about paid...

He had suboptimal years when we were cashing in and as such, perhaps Dave is showing sympathy for the rest of us.

This one's coming.  First guess is 4-8 for the I84 and Pike region north to middle NNE.

1 hour ago, Prismshine Productions said:

RGEM got the crown so far this winter

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

No

4 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Ended up with 2.5" total. Not too bad really. Snow depth on the ground is now averaging 12.7" Please see pic for proof. I made sure I wasn't stick slanting this time, at least in one dimension. You're just gonna have to trust me on the other ;). 

FWIW-I believe you.  

Beautiful late last night and early this morning.   Trees losing the snowy appeal now as melting commences.  1.1”

Kind of a snowy evening.  Light amounts but definitely wintry.  

I’m among the few rooting hard to lose the “pack”.  Life is so much easier without.

4 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

To me, the Doors and The Velvet Underground, are bands that I have to be in the mood for and then can appreciate small doses.  Kind of like August humidity, 

As a 20 year old in college I found it great stoner music.  Listen to the 11 minute clip “when the music’s over”

3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

 

Amazing piece-amazing group!   Stream the movie with Val Kilmer in his prime playing Jim Morrison.

12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GOM had a massive heat content increase years ago due to a weakening of the Labrador current. I remember reading about this in papers back like 10-15 years ago and it’s still ongoing. They had a similar thing happen in the 1940s I think where they then spiked really warm for about a decade period circa late 40s into mid 50s before reversing again. (Check out some of the warmth back then for MA/NH/ME)
 

CC affecting the ocean currents is still obviously somewhat of a frontier in the literature but I suspect if CC helps in weakening the Labrador current, then you wouldn’t see the same reversal again. Of course, we could go all “Day After Tomorrow” and the whole North Atlantic gets less salty and we all abruptly freeze when the thermohaline circulation weakens. 

Bring it!   Seriously though there have been articles in the past week or 2 of weakening of the circulation due to reduced salinity from a large amount of melting of the Greenland glacial shield

To me the best CC argument is the increasing number of hundies in summer.   And if we fail at 100 we’re almost sure to hit upper 90s with a notable exception being 2023.  When I was in school, a/c was needed occasionally.  Now it’s almost non stop in sne.

Nuances Ray.  Over a long period of time there will always be strings of crappy years.

The new snow today added just enough to better the footing on icy paths ironically.  My wife and I enjoyed a long walk in cold and snowy conds earlier.  My tolerance is such that I would love it to be at least 10 degrees warmer.

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Could use that blocking about now.

47 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

EPS trying to save the day here in the 11-15 day. Builds the ridge out west a little more.

Yeah it’s not a bad look.  Run to run volatility is off the charts

Another frustrating winter.  I’m looking forward to getting out of here for warmth in late February/early March.   Everything blows.  Walking on icy paths, feet hurting from winter walk shoes, minimal snow.  I love warmth and hopefully we get some next week but even that could get largely thwarted.

On 12/26/2023 at 7:23 AM, Chrisrotary12 said:

How much for the flight?

Haven’t booked it yet but probably will in the next few weeks.  We also have enough miles and have actually considered driving.  Time is less of an issue for us.

On 1/17/2024 at 11:30 PM, ice1972 said:

Anyone traveling south for this?  I went to MO in 2017 and was planning on Texas in April......have hotels booked in St. Louis (before shifting more south) and San Antonio......still investigating where to actually drive to to see this bad boy but at twice as long as the 2017 one man I can't fukin wait.......life changing experience for sure.....

Booked in San Antonio and plan to catch the eclipse as close to Eagle Pass as possible.  We booked 9 months ago.

34 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Eh, north of the wall is where warm fronts go to die - that's around Winne's latitude. That line is very well established climatologically. 

Yes there are patterns that prove exceptions but that area is rock solid winter; and that's where I'm referencing.

Being Dry is their #1 enemy to big snowfall seasons. 

Well this year so far dry isn’t the issue.  The pattern next week features the lurking  cold to our north.  I’ve been around long enough to see beautiful June days ruined by it while occasionally we end up surprisingly wintry during the cold season especially north of the pike.

4 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Lewiston Maine. Sure.

But the op runs with the -NAO look, with snow potential into coastal SNE are just evil. The ops notoriously lag the teleconnection shifts, but this lag is likely especially pronounced given the unusual spike we're seeing in both the NAO and AO indexes. 

It's a shit pattern that will produce shit, except north of the wall. The GEFS and EPS are much more reliable here, even at 5 days.

Climatologically, there tends to be a few events like this every winter.  In many, the wall is south of much of New England.  Time will tell but there is potential for wintry qpf in a lot of places that should be torching.  We'll see how it plays out.

Good morning.  I see everyone's happy today....

Tomorrow's potential is essentially gone unless one counts flakes as a win and even that is tenuous.  It's all good-nothing anyone can do about it.  I'll be happy either way...snow would be fun but hindering my outdoor pace (as the last 2 days have with slippery conditions underfoot) or melting and allowing me to go unworried across my usual paths.  We're supposed to go to FL in March and it couldn't come faster.