weathafella

Reggie is definitely no where near as zonked as prior runs and it’s further east.  Keep in mind it doesn’t have much usefulness beyond  24-36 hours usually.

The 48 hour hrrr got one right for some random event so now it’s incorporated into weenie algorithms.  What the fuck have we become…..

The weenie playbook is there for everyone to see ITT.

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Found it !

NYC thread?  They look good for here.

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

More than 12z is the point 

But also skewing the mean.  Median is so much better statistically.

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

If you look at the individual eps members there’s maybe like 5 members that are mini versions of Rgem and gfs now that are pretty far west .. 

5 out of 51.

Dr No saying negatory….

Euro says no soap.

11 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

So the latest GFS run was identical to 12z? There's some talk It was a bit colder and stronger? What's the snow map for the 18Z?

Get this man some opium!

Gfs crushes 90% of sne.

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Every piece of guidance will show solid warning criteria for most of SNE at 00z and then the euro will drop a turd on our screens at 1230. 

Yeah but I’m pouring at midnight so I may see the drunk snow goggle view.

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

How often does the euro suite get its ass kicked inside of 72 hours? My guess is a compromise but it may be skewed toward Euro. 
 

But one of these model suites is gonna cave massively. If it’s a choice between Canadian suite and Euro suite, I know which one I’m choosing to cave the most. 

Yeah good point.  Queue the popcorn to watch the caves.

Could be a burp by the euro family.  We’ve seen that close in a few times.

1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said:

so we got:

Euro/nam/Ukie

vs, literally everything else

Not exactly.  Euro/nam/uncle/gfs/shitcon vs cmc/reggie

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro throws higher Qpf father NW for @JC-CT

It’s 3-6 on the euro at best.

Euro not biting on the trend.  Of the credible globals it is the eastern goalpost.

Close in and the models still in their respective corners.  One would hope we’d have consensus by tonight but it won’t surprise me of a chunk go down with the ship.  Hoping for a gfs solution imby.

Uncle kind of GFSesque.

Reggie brings a 988 over Boston 

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Most of us here will be asleep for that . You, Ray, Dryslot and Ice72

At 11:15?  We’re not talking 2AM….

Kevin will be sleeping when cmc shows light drizzle for the event while every other model crushes us.

Just now, Henry's Weather said:

What the hell are you guys talking about? 

We’re talking muthufukkas muthufukka!

7 minutes ago, dryslot said:

We flipped places actually, I went from 4 to 8.

I think at least st Logan it may be counting on some slop for a time.  OWD 4, LWM 6.

9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Motherfukkas!!

Muthufukkas dropped to 4.  Fukkin muthufukkas!

What is with the propensity to only post kuchera snow maps vs 10:1?  What number is that in the weenie playbook?