weathafella
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Everything posted by weathafella
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GEFS with a big improvement in the long range. Big cave to eps.
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It’s hard to have a model discussion while sorting through all the poor me baby posts. February will certainly be colder be January this year. If not I’ll be shocked.
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Surprised you of all people didn’t comprehend his post....
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D8. Get a grip.
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Do not agree
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The pacific improvement is after that progged storm. In fact, pacific is really awful until just past that point.
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The coast would take a wind and tide beating.
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Gorgeous-top 10 day...
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NWS (was the weather bureau back then) claimed 85% accuracy out to 5 days.
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Bullshit. MJO is mainly in cod and no help or hurt.
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So why bother? Revert to 1945 and try to predict without guidance
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Discount all guidance because you were burned 2 weeks ago at your own risk. Get ahold of yourselves weenies! It’s science and doesn’t give a shit about your preferences.
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Exactly. Just because 1/25/00 happened doesn’t mean every predicted whiff is going to hit. Perhaps 2 weeks ago the pattern was being rushed which happens a lot.
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Long range eps getting quite weenieish.
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Signal on 3 op models for a big storm. We’ll see.
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Happens what...every few years?
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I know what you went through but I’m sorry...missing the qpf by 20 miles is not much of a choke. You were always too close to the edge for comfort. But I feel your pain.
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That’s decent ensemble support for d8. What I remember was some models going with a DC blizzard and SNE whiff and scooter melting more. Saturday morning I woke up and poked at the overnight euro and we had a blizzard progged for SNE. Other models came on board over the next 24 hours. And then we had a month of incredible fun!
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If we’re going to get a comeback it’s probably gonna have to be 2012-13 style.
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Well that’s the 6Z run but 0z was improved particularly with the ridging developing N of AK,
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I think the ensembles are heading somewhere good for February. We’ll see if it’s real.
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I’m holding onto 1959-60. Shit winter until 3/3/60. Suddenly one of the all timers of the 20th century snows up.
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Honestly although it’s useless to discuss on this level but verbatim it seems to blow its load up to the pike and then occlude
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Kevin drops some red meat and wolfie can’t help devouring it....
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It’s funny but I didn’t start consistently until last year thanks to Pickles and Ray’s bet. Now I do it As best I can to see what my snow average really is.
