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weathafella

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Everything posted by weathafella

  1. KBUF gets the hard synoptic end on Black Friday per euro.
  2. As I recall, the main issue with the pope is he had this back end of November cold snap as a “back to normal” time.
  3. Bearing down on Torch Lake-ironically named in this context….
  4. A great night to be 20 miles north of Petoskey.
  5. Our daughter is en route from btv-called to taunt me with how beautiful the falling snow is on the way….
  6. That’s a big change in the pacific on eps in the long range!
  7. Still big difference between eps and GEFS for the thanksgiving weekend timeframe. It’s far enough out but someone will cave if they don’t meet in the middle.
  8. Ray, your work ethic is amazing with this! Details and always learning opportunities. Thanks for taking the time and putting this out. Good luck on verification!
  9. JD, I understand that part but the pv that we refer to as having an immediate effect on sensible wx is at h5 I believe. So George ‘s impression that we want the strat vortex to split greatly influencing our sensible wx may not be correct. However, we’d rather a split than not. As Will posted, it helps but it’s not the main influencer.
  10. 25 here for a low. 2 hour walk last night late-sub freezing from start to finish but after 45 minutes you warm up from the exercise. Clouding up now-rainy and cold tomorrow. Aka November.
  11. Wait-you’re shadowed my mtns on both sides? That doesn’t sound ideal for snow amounts. Kevin laid it out but good luck anyway!
  12. 40 here at peak heating with full sun all day. Winter like.
  13. You confuse the strat vortex with the common term polar vortex which to my knowledge is typically seen at 500mb. Maybe I’m wrong but that’s my understanding.
  14. I just looked where Simsbury is-and your sig has you at 100 feet. So in summary you may get some snow-certainly more than us in the east but expectations beyond an inch seem like a stretch. We miss you here Jay-put your foot down and head up north to live next time!
  15. MPM pining for original pit in GC...
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