weathafella

George-get ahold of yourself and try to remember what you've learned from being on these boards for the past 2-3 years. NAO is not be all end all. See last December for proof. GFS has performed better vs euro in recent weeks. Canadian is a shitty model period. qq omega implied the block would hook up with the SE ridge. He was correct in that regard. Eventually the block should orient to actually NOT allow storms to cut west but we're not there obviously. Keep your eye on the western US and hope for ridging. And as ScottN (coastalwx) mentioned a few days ago, orientation of the block in the north atlantic makes a difference.

"Chilled monkey brains..."

It’s fun to watch. Never have I seen models flip back and forth so frequently.

Also as a reminder….it’s December 5th. Almost all years feature 40s for highs, low 30s for lows here in sne.

How can it eat what isn’t there? Had a dusting of snow overnight-literally just a few flurries flying around.

Felt like winter in VT today. Low 30s when we left past noon and aob freezing to mid 30s until we reached the banana belt just north or MHT. We may need to return around the 19th and I suspect by then most if not all of VT will have snow otg.

I don’t think you were the target. We’re about to pick up our 23 year old at her place in Burlington VT for breakfast. I’m 76 and I’m thankful for the opportunity to retry parenting over age 50.

What-application of logic? What’s the world coming to!

In any case, a compromise between GEFS and eps yields a nice solution for snow.

6Z GEFS seem better vs 0z.

Walking the streets of Burlington VT-47 with squally rain at times.

Then again, George went 105 inches for BOS in Roger Smith’s thread. Hopefully he’s right but I’m hanging onto my money…

Devil’s lettuce…

I think once the Pacific responds better we cash in. And then it takes a few days for it to affect sensible wx. That brings us to mid month.

I think around 12/16 and beyond is our time. We could get lucky before but I think it will be tough beforehand.

George was waxing poetic about the miller B on the long range op CMC last night......

47 here in Essex Jct, VT. Dank and wet. Not what i envisioned when I booked months ago. Next weekend in Chicago. I'm traveling to different places until the pattern change comes. It may be an expensive winter!

WC is great but FIFA is an abomination.

I think we wait until beyond 12/12 for any threats-probably more like 12/15. Canadian is garbage at day 3. and even moreso day 10. OP models should be tossed at the ranges we're discussing.

I hope the 18z gfs verifies as I'll be in Chicago which will get decent snow from the 12/11 event. But the next run will likely be different.

Posted 6 hours ago ORH 94 BOS 63 PVD 59 BDL 71 BDR 48 PSF 80 ALB 69. BVT 96 CON 93 PORTLAND 90 CAR 142 KGINX 81 KRAY 89 KDIT 83 HUBB 90. DXR 57. NYC 44 TAN 58 GON 40 AUG 99. DRYSLOT 101 MITCH HOUSE 177 Go big or go home.

Speaking of melts, we actually had a melt thread about 10 years ago and snowNH melt within that thread was gold.

Happy Birthday! Do December bdays make us snow weenies? Then again, if we were born 2 weeks later our chances would be better.

Yeah JD I"m disappointed not going-always great to see everyone. Thanks for the BD wishes.

Thank you for the kind words Ray. I remember that day. You had your laptop on the hospital tray during a hideous torch period peering into guidance for something. I also really enjoyed meeting your family and I got to talk to your dad. You have a lot of people who love you and that's testimony to the goodness of your soul.