That’s quite a strong easterly fetch. Anyone within 35 miles of the east facing coastal areas in sne will likely have bl issues in the first part of this storm.
Meanwhile in a preemptive move, American Rubber has temporarily rented a warehouse just inside the city limits of Methuen, MA. The warehouse is uniquely constructed with rooms and AR is outfitting each of them for the period 12/15-1/10.
You should be doing a lot better given that locale. One of these days we’re going to get a slow moving monster just inside the bm that can’t gain much more latitude giving your area 30-40 inches.
We know that a couple(not you nor I) have stated it can't plow into the block. And they're right. But that doesn't mean the block can't slightly shift to send a system west of us or over us or otherwise not winter like for many or us. Anyway-it doesn't matter-point is from a learning perspective, this setup is a bit fraught. It may work out but whatever comes after this week should have higher odds.
It's not that weird. We say it's weird every year. One problem with this block is that most of the major NHEM cold was on the wrong side of the pole. That appears to change favorably for us now going forward but not in time for this system. I wasn't aiming my comment to you. I was aiming it toward people insisting something can't happen when it can and reasonably often does. Why do you say I'm fabricating bs? WTF is wrong with you?
Looking at the euro tonight vs 2 nights ago I see a big difference. The 2 big vorts are the atlantic vortex and the midwest one. Between the 2 a couple of nights ago squeezed a little block in eastern Canada enabling a blizzard to result. Today that happens too late. Plenty of time as wxniss and others note but there's no reason this solution is impossible and weenies should stop postulating bullshit.
Yeah with average mid December air a sheared out junk system won’t do it. Heck it’s tough in the real heart of winter! But the guidance has gone back and forth on this so it isn’t settled by any means. H5 vort needs to go under us, not through southern Ontario.