JetsPens87
-
Posts
1,105 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by JetsPens87
-
Central Parks temp sensor is in the middle of a forest and should never be used for gauging a heat wave.
-
Potentially dumbest post ever
-
I just like it cause it upsets @MJO812 and @nycwinter and some people seem to get so bothered that people like hot weather. Those same 2 I just tagged always try to gloat about cold and rain (had to listen to them all March and April) so now it's payback time. I also like it for the beach and pool. Unless you have a heated pool it sucks getting in when it's only 75 to 80. When it's 90...its the best.
-
Creepy
-
Ensembles are now showing full on furnace potential. There *appears to be a relaxing towards the last week of June but that's only temporary as a longer term WAR driven pattern is now being hinted at LR on the ensembles. @nycwinter @MJO812 tagging the heat fans on this
-
I keep coming back to the difference being this time the strong trough in the W. I think that makes all the difference this time of year allowing the SW flow to be the predominant mechanism. Also keep in mind the AN SST off the E coast will play a factor as well.
-
GFS OP moves that pretty quickly. With the feature diving into the W I have to agreement that's on its way out. Hard to get that to stick around now with a trough in the W unlike May.
-
Thankfully we won't be getting hoodie updates from @nycwinter
-
As expected latest GEFS now washout any trough in the E completely and may even be hotter than the EPS now.
-
Understandable. It's always tough long range to be honest. Once we got out of the one week period in Jan I always felt winter was over and there were others who did also. Doesn't make them more or less right this go around for predicting heat but the big indicators are all there and pretty convicted on it. I don't recall ensembles ever really bringing anything too promising inside of 2 weeks last winter. The heat starts to build next weekend. Its coming.
-
The GEFS shows how it's done (though it's quickly moving away from it). It dives the trough in similar to the EPS in the W but maintains troughiness in the E (it would be hot but not incredibly so like the EPS). EPS washes out the W ATL trough much quicker than the GEFS which jives well with the AN SST pool off the Atl coast and the higher heights towards Greenland and NATL. Other than that...not much. It's beyond true backdoor season by then so it would take a large scale pattern disruption to derail this at this point (e.g trough not diving into the W at all) but there is virtually no support for that outcome left.
-
I'm telling you right now if you get the trough diving into the W like ensembles are showing it is going to push that heat our way and there will be places that hit 100. Only saving grace is there hasn't been a massive heat build to date yet. It's coming.
-
Euro ensembles are Gung ho on big heat coming
-
Big shifts showing up in the west on ensembles now. Gefs slightly less Gung ho in the east as it tries to maintain troughiness. Expect that to correct warmer if the predominant feature becomes a -PNA especially like the EPS shows. The EPS is an all out torch with heat building to our southwest with a direct pipeline to us.
-
Burn weenie burn. You've got a long humid and hot summer ahead of you. Enjoy!
-
-
Burn
-
Love it
-
Dumb gas lighting argument Where did he say Montauk? There would be big heat if there was a ridge yes...what can't you understand about that?
-
All your posts about what you're wearing are creepy dude Pot meet kettle
- 1,603 replies
-
- 2
-
-
- spring
- cool temps
- (and 3 more)
-
Lmao
-
Ah yes the daily nycwinter wardrobe update. Thank God
- 1,603 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- spring
- cool temps
- (and 3 more)
-
How was the Mets game
- 1,603 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- spring
- cool temps
- (and 3 more)
-
And the biggest driver had to be high minimums thanks to all the cloudy days.
-
Oh well. You always want rain. You got it.
- 1,603 replies
-
- 8
-
-
- spring
- cool temps
- (and 3 more)
